Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 21:34:39

Take profit at 322.5168 (0.047 %) and Stop Loss at 322.7466 (0.024 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 21:34:39

With 104.4717 MSTR at 322.67$ per unit.

Position size of 33709.8828 $

Take profit at 322.5168 (0.047 %) and Stop Loss at 322.7466 (0.024 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.87
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 7.1E-5

15m : -0.033578

1H : -0.054612

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.68
  4. atr: 0.0510505088
Details
  1. score: 1.68
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.318
  4. ema21 : 323.754
  5. ema50 : 328.562
  6. ema100 : 335.152
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00108949
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00443335
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0146336
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0372448
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.10539
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103008
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104017
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0889925
  17. rsi : 0.423025
  18. adx : 0.312747
  19. kc_percentage : 0.339459
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181452
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.781054
  22. volume_ema1 : 32226.150187968
  23. volume_ema2 : 147187.76416364
  24. chop : 40.703
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 322.477
  29. ema21 : 322.125
  30. ema50 : 322.595
  31. ema100 : 324.213
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.000596366
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00109262
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00145749
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00476043
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0254524
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.018107
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00315894
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0127907
  42. rsi : 0.576443
  43. adx : 0.191651
  44. kc_percentage : 0.96641
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00352368
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.933341
  47. volume_ema1 : 1721.6341529178
  48. volume_ema2 : 25827.512632054
  49. chop : 68.1944
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 322.642
  54. ema21 : 322.516
  55. ema50 : 322.091
  56. ema100 : 321.57
  57. price_ema9_diff : 8.44392E-5
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000391408
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00132007
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0034187
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00404083
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00752947
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00894868
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00760735
  67. rsi : 0.715104
  68. adx : 0.538902
  69. kc_percentage : 1.67928
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.000367638
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.81953
  72. volume_ema1 : 376.31068106816
  73. volume_ema2 : 2085.1817770599
  74. chop : 101.515
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    121229
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00437541
  81. 5m_price:
    121759
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    7.1E-5
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    121685
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0006097
  86. 15m_price:
    121759
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.033578
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122510
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00612959
  91. 1H_price:
    121759
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.054612
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
21:34:39
09 Oct 2025
21:40:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.67 322.7466 322.5168 2 132.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.67
  • Stop Loss: 322.7466
  • Take Profit: 322.5168

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.7466 - 322.67 = 0.076599999999985

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.67 - 322.5168 = 0.15320000000003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.15320000000003 / 0.076599999999985 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
33709.8828 100 104.4717 337.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.076599999999985

Taille de position = 8 / 0.076599999999985 = 104.44

Taille de position USD = 104.44 x 322.67 = 33699.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 104.44 avec un stoploss a 322.7466

Avec un position size USD de 33699.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 104.44 x 0.076599999999985 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 104.44 x 0.15320000000003 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 104.44
  • Taille de position USD 33699.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.047 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.024 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0434 % 183.12 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.5168
            [entry_price] => 322.67
            [stop_loss] => 322.75426
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.5168
            [entry_price] => 322.67
            [stop_loss] => 322.76192
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.5168
            [entry_price] => 322.67
            [stop_loss] => 322.76958
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.5168
            [entry_price] => 322.67
            [stop_loss] => 322.7849
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.4
            [max_drawdown] => 0.41999999999996
            [rr_ratio] => 3.33
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:34:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T23:34:39-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.41999999999996
            [rr_ratio] => 3.67
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:34:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T04:34:39-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.67000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 321.02000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)