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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 21:55:03

Take profit at 322.6709 (0.043 %) and Stop Loss at 322.8796 (0.022 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 21:55:03

With 114.9883 MSTR at 322.81$ per unit.

Position size of 37119.3572 $

Take profit at 322.6709 (0.043 %) and Stop Loss at 322.8796 (0.022 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 7.34
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.042501

15m : 0.130504

1H : 0.009528

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 1.1
  4. atr: 0.04638155036
Details
  1. score: 2.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.346
  4. ema21 : 323.766
  5. ema50 : 328.567
  6. ema100 : 335.155
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00143685
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.004386
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0146114
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0368351
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.104675
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102684
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103879
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0889244
  17. rsi : 0.428737
  18. adx : 0.311765
  19. kc_percentage : 0.362409
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0183108
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.780925
  22. volume_ema1 : 32245.518787968
  23. volume_ema2 : 147190.04282247
  24. chop : 40.7159
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 322.566
  28. ema21 : 322.199
  29. ema50 : 322.595
  30. ema100 : 324.084
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000754734
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00113937
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00122764
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00393145
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0267975
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0194259
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00153059
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0111747
  41. rsi : 0.590876
  42. adx : 0.193221
  43. kc_percentage : 1.05364
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00332606
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.952912
  46. volume_ema1 : 1160.6685019452
  47. volume_ema2 : 24649.300515457
  48. chop : 72.1811
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 322.727
  52. ema21 : 322.599
  53. ema50 : 322.182
  54. ema100 : 321.587
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000256684
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00039433
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00129502
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00380081
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00372459
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00620657
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00826903
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00780563
  65. rsi : 0.776664
  66. adx : 0.578542
  67. kc_percentage : 2.10337
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000381491
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.952384
  70. volume_ema1 : 82.941240704822
  71. volume_ema2 : 1741.9131066579
  72. chop : 65.591
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121283
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00242559
  78. 5m_price: 
    121577
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.042501
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121649
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00102989
  83. 15m_price: 
    121523
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.130504
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122507
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00759078
  88. 1H_price: 
    121577
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.009528
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
21:55:03		 09 Oct 2025
22:00:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.81 322.8796 322.6709 2 131.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.81
  • Stop Loss: 322.8796
  • Take Profit: 322.6709

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.8796 - 322.81 = 0.06959999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.81 - 322.6709 = 0.13909999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.13909999999998 / 0.06959999999998 = 1.9986

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
37119.3572 100 114.9883 371.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.06959999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.06959999999998 = 114.94

Taille de position USD = 114.94 x 322.81 = 37103.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 114.94 avec un stoploss a 322.8796

Avec un position size USD de 37103.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 114.94 x 0.06959999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 114.94 x 0.13909999999998 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 114.94
  • Taille de position USD 37103.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9986

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.043 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.022 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0867 % 401.39 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.6709
            [entry_price] => 322.81
            [stop_loss] => 322.88656
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.6709
            [entry_price] => 322.81
            [stop_loss] => 322.89352
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.6709
            [entry_price] => 322.81
            [stop_loss] => 322.90048
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.6709
            [entry_price] => 322.81
            [stop_loss] => 322.9144
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.27999999999997
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:55:03-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T23:55:03-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.68
            [max_drawdown] => 0.75
            [rr_ratio] => 2.24
            [high] => 323.56000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:55:03-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T04:55:03-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.81000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 321.30000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)