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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 22:14:45

Take profit at 322.9348 (0.048 %) and Stop Loss at 323.1676 (0.024 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 22:14:45

With 103.092 MSTR at 323.09$ per unit.

Position size of 33307.9909 $

Take profit at 322.9348 (0.048 %) and Stop Loss at 323.1676 (0.024 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.5
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.085674

15m : 0.001988

1H : -0.053131

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 1.48
  4. atr: 0.0517337318
Details
  1. score: 2.48
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.495
  4. ema21 : 323.705
  5. ema50 : 328.352
  6. ema100 : 334.916
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00184353
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00373758
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0141541
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.035312
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0910985
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0967196
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.101298
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0879285
  17. rsi : 0.440663
  18. adx : 0.300234
  19. kc_percentage : 0.411173
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0168123
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.84609
  22. volume_ema1 : 21770.548858645
  23. volume_ema2 : 141450.06502551
  24. chop : 40.2269
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 322.671
  28. ema21 : 322.28
  29. ema50 : 322.602
  30. ema100 : 323.975
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00129779
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00121286
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000999475
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00273206
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0262484
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0198504
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.000336398
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00986325
  41. rsi : 0.620769
  42. adx : 0.197795
  43. kc_percentage : 1.23373
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00333746
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.955476
  46. volume_ema1 : 1047.3153346301
  47. volume_ema2 : 23522.589603007
  48. chop : 63.6939
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 322.912
  52. ema21 : 322.736
  53. ema50 : 322.312
  54. ema100 : 321.74
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000549036
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000546965
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00131425
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0041948
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00749481
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0073472
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00838862
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0076456
  65. rsi : 0.858075
  66. adx : 0.628364
  67. kc_percentage : 2.48038
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000530877
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.911756
  70. volume_ema1 : 137.95515865774
  71. volume_ema2 : 1563.348862295
  72. chop : 21.1381
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121350
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00130397
  78. 5m_price: 
    121192
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.085674
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121628
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00358584
  83. 15m_price: 
    121192
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.001988
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122512
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0107758
  88. 1H_price: 
    121192
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.053131
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
22:14:45		 09 Oct 2025
22:20:00		 5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
323.09 323.1676 322.9348 2 132.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 323.09
  • Stop Loss: 323.1676
  • Take Profit: 322.9348

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 323.1676 - 323.09 = 0.077600000000018

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 323.09 - 322.9348 = 0.15519999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.15519999999998 / 0.077600000000018 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
33307.9909 100 103.092 333.08
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.077600000000018

Taille de position = 8 / 0.077600000000018 = 103.09

Taille de position USD = 103.09 x 323.09 = 33307.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 103.09 avec un stoploss a 323.1676

Avec un position size USD de 33307.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 103.09 x 0.077600000000018 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 103.09 x 0.15519999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 103.09
  • Taille de position USD 33307.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.048 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.024 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.9348
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.896
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.8572
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.8184
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.7796
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.7408
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.702
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.6632
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.6244
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.5856
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.5468
            [stop_loss] => 323.1676
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.96
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T22:14:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T00:14:45-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.96
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 4.17
            [high] => 323.56000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T22:14:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T05:14:45-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 323.09000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 321.30000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)