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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 10 Oct 2025 at 19:38:17

Take profit at 3.5438 (14.26 %) and Stop Loss at 4.4276 (7.13 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 10 Oct 2025 at 19:38:17

With 27.1534 AR at 4.133$ per unit.

Position size of 112.225 $

Take profit at 3.5438 (14.26 %) and Stop Loss at 4.4276 (7.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.54
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bear_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.886246

15m : -0.024451

1H : -0.029435

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.1964149092
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.62958
  4. ema21 : 5.13657
  5. ema50 : 5.49225
  6. ema100 : 5.70082
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.107263
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0987021
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0647591
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.275017
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.70613
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.941475
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.462272
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.261881
  17. rsi : 0.258968
  18. adx : 0.453843
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0563009
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.533628
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.69969
  22. volume_ema1 : 2467766.0051355
  23. volume_ema2 : 667019.40275699
  24. chop : -26.787
  25. regime : bear_high_confirmed
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.82549
  28. ema21 : 4.22676
  29. ema50 : 4.84337
  30. ema100 : 5.23174
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0803828
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0949362
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.127308
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.210015
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -2.30034
  38. ema_slope_21 : -1.80966
  39. ema_slope_50 : -1.07985
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.622879
  41. rsi : 0.433245
  42. adx : 0.709784
  43. kc_percentage : 0.461386
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.383233
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.112196
  46. volume_ema1 : 477502.98624135
  47. volume_ema2 : 429333.19566511
  48. chop : 3.10903
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.82389
  52. ema21 : 3.73026
  53. ema50 : 4.03894
  54. ema100 : 4.51031
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0808339
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0251019
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0764264
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0836552
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.954341
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.226364
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.360591
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.373324
  65. rsi : 0.606988
  66. adx : 0.294757
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0854
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.167487
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.383068
  70. volume_ema1 : 330699.63108817
  71. volume_ema2 : 239105.67258939
  72. chop : 54.4443
  73. regime : bear_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    115399
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0134696
  78. 5m_price: 
    113844
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.886246
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    118536
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0399256
  83. 15m_price: 
    113804
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.024451
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    121382
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0621012
  88. 1H_price: 
    113844
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029435
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Oct 2025
19:38:17		 12 Oct 2025
11:05:00		 1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.133 4.4276 3.5438 2 1.675
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.133
  • Stop Loss: 4.4276
  • Take Profit: 3.5438

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.4276 - 4.133 = 0.2946

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.133 - 3.5438 = 0.5892

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5892 / 0.2946 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
112.225 100 27.1534 1.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2946

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2946 = 27.16

Taille de position USD = 27.16 x 4.133 = 112.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 27.16 avec un stoploss a 4.4276

Avec un position size USD de 112.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 27.16 x 0.2946 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 27.16 x 0.5892 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 27.16
  • Taille de position USD 112.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
14.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -7.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.5732 % 106.25 % 40

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.259
            [max_drawdown] => 0.176
            [rr_ratio] => 1.47
            [high] => 4.30900000
            [low] => 3.87400000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.27
            [mae_pct] => 4.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T19:38:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T21:38:17-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.402
            [max_drawdown] => 0.176
            [rr_ratio] => 2.28
            [high] => 4.30900000
            [low] => 3.73100000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.73
            [mae_pct] => 4.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T19:38:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T02:38:17-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.27200000
            [high_after] => 4.30900000
            [low_before] => 1.26400000
            [low_after] => 3.73100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)