Short Trade on ARK

The 10 Oct 2025 at 20:50:44

With 734.8306 ARK at 0.3679$ per unit.

Position size of 270.3442 $

Take profit at 0.3461 (5.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3788 (2.96 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted

rules_regime_5m : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.791716

15m : -0.094955

1H : 0.036807

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.007257908254
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.374951
  4. ema21 - 0.395924
  5. ema50 - 0.41396
  6. ema100 - 0.426029
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.0188061
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0529718
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0435705
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.136444
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.06438
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.654425
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.345401
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.203624
  17. rsi - 0.332862
  18. adx - 0.500706
  19. kc_percentage - 0.249788
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.291818
  21. volume_ema_diff - 2.90998
  22. volume_ema1 - 993095.1362765
  23. volume_ema2 - 253989.64824819
  24. chop - -20.9198
  25. regime - bear_high_confirmed
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.355376
  29. ema21 - 0.359317
  30. ema50 - 0.379938
  31. ema100 - 0.397953
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0352397
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.010969
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0542726
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0755194
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.0757974
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.392568
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.401805
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.275234
  42. rsi - 0.506128
  43. adx - 0.510466
  44. kc_percentage - 0.628843
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.196776
  46. volume_ema_diff - 0.454683
  47. volume_ema1 - 249370.09292962
  48. volume_ema2 - 171425.70697865
  49. chop - 32.552
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.360104
  54. ema21 - 0.353986
  55. ema50 - 0.354242
  56. ema100 - 0.366602
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0216471
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0172852
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.000723055
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.00353891
  61. all_emas_in_trend - False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.257431
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.244323
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0510559
  66. ema_slope_100 - -0.0563092
  67. rsi - 0.64293
  68. adx - 0.134136
  69. kc_percentage - 1.00223
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0733755
  71. volume_ema_diff - 0.101183
  72. volume_ema1 - 96159.687588263
  73. volume_ema2 - 87323.949553933
  74. chop - 53.5126
  75. regime - bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 114695
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0155065
  81. 5m_price: 112917
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.791716
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 117977
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0428479
  86. 15m_price: 112922
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.094955
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 121179
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0681814
  91. 1H_price: 112917
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.036807
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Oct 2025
20:50:44
11 Oct 2025
16:35:00
19 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3679 0.3788 0.3461 2 0.2632
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3679
  • Stop Loss: 0.3788
  • Take Profit: 0.3461

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3788 - 0.3679 = 0.0109

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3679 - 0.3461 = 0.0218

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0218 / 0.0109 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
270.3442 100 734.8306 2.70
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0109

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0109 = 733.94

Taille de position USD = 733.94 x 0.3679 = 270.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 733.94 avec un stoploss a 0.3788

Avec un position size USD de 270.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 733.94 x 0.0109 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 733.94 x 0.0218 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 733.94
  • Taille de position USD 270.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.93 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.96 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 5.93
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.598 % 20.18 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.018
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.36480000
            [low] => 0.34990000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.89
            [mae_pct] => -0.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T20:50:44-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T22:50:44-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.018
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.36530000
            [low] => 0.34990000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.89
            [mae_pct] => -0.71
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T20:50:44-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T03:50:44-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.39590000
            [high_after] => 0.36530000
            [low_before] => 0.20930000
            [low_after] => 0.34990000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)