Short Trade on ARK
The 10 Oct 2025 at 20:50:44
With 734.8306 ARK at 0.3679$ per unit.
Position size of 270.3442 $
Take profit at 0.3461 (5.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3788 (2.96 %)
That's a 2 RR TradePosition size of 270.3442 $
Take profit at 0.3461 (5.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3788 (2.96 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted rules_regime_5m : bear_high |
1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.791716 15m : -0.094955 1H : 0.036807 |
3 |
Indicators:
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 20:50:44 |
11 Oct 2025 16:35:00 |
19 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3679 | 0.3788 | 0.3461 | 2 | 0.2632 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3788 - 0.3679 = 0.0109
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3679 - 0.3461 = 0.0218
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0218 / 0.0109 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 270.3442 | 100 | 734.8306 | 2.70 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0109 = 733.94
Taille de position USD = 733.94 x 0.3679 = 270.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 733.94 avec un stoploss a 0.3788
Avec un position size USD de 270.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 733.94 x 0.0109 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 733.94 x 0.0218 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.93 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.96 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 5.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.598 % | 20.18 % | 11 |
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