Short Trade on AAVE 10 Oct 2025 at 22:33:27
Take profit at 221.6618 (3.98 %) and Stop Loss at 235.4441 (1.99 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 10 Oct 2025 at 22:33:27
Take profit at 221.6618 (3.98 %) and Stop Loss at 235.4441 (1.99 %)
Position size of 401.9928 $
Take profit at 221.6618 (3.98 %) and Stop Loss at 235.4441 (1.99 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.57 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.934931 15m : -0.044603 1H : 0.000432 |
3 |
Indicators:
113529
-0.0113256
112243
0.934931
117142
-0.0418218
112243
-0.044603
120735
-0.070337
112243
0.000432
Market Structure Score: 0
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 22:33:27 |
11 Oct 2025 02:25:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230.85 | 235.4441 | 221.6618 | 2 | 118.17 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 235.4441 - 230.85 = 4.5941
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 230.85 - 221.6618 = 9.1882
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.1882 / 4.5941 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 401.9928 | 100 | 1.7414 | 4.02 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.5941 = 1.74
Taille de position USD = 1.74 x 230.85 = 401.68
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.74 avec un stoploss a 235.4441
Avec un position size USD de 401.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.74 x 4.5941 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.74 x 9.1882 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.98 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.99 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1009 % | 105.57 % | 11 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 221.6618
[entry_price] => 230.85
[stop_loss] => 235.90351
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 02:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.92
[max_drawdown] => 3.88
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[high] => 234.73000000
[low] => 224.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.56
[mae_pct] => 1.68
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.53
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-10T22:33:27-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-11T00:33:27-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.92
[max_drawdown] => 10.84
[rr_ratio] => 0.55
[high] => 241.69000000
[low] => 224.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.56
[mae_pct] => 4.7
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-10T22:33:27-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-11T05:33:27-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 233.26000000
[high_after] => 236.28000000
[low_before] => 209.13000000
[low_after] => 224.93000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)