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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 10 Oct 2025 at 22:35:07

Take profit at 21.4859 (4 %) and Stop Loss at 22.8286 (2 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 10 Oct 2025 at 22:35:07

With 17.8743 AVAX at 22.381$ per unit.

Position size of 400.0442 $

Take profit at 21.4859 (4 %) and Stop Loss at 22.8286 (2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.55
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.232838

15m : 0.002634

1H : -0.078577

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.2983803847
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 22.7712
  4. ema21 : 24.7537
  5. ema50 : 26.5511
  6. ema100 : 27.735
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0171365
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0800892
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0676958
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.193041
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.61034
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.03552
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.547406
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.317989
  17. rsi : 0.296122
  18. adx : 0.534422
  19. kc_percentage : 0.207195
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.344448
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.319736
  22. volume_ema1 : 13591508.754559
  23. volume_ema2 : 10298652.785966
  24. chop : -16.6644
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 21.6212
  28. ema21 : 21.9333
  29. ema50 : 23.6293
  30. ema100 : 25.295
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0351394
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0142281
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0717784
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.1152
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0370046
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.390109
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.46927
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.341568
  41. rsi : 0.507138
  42. adx : 0.695955
  43. kc_percentage : 0.651856
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.148107
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.719431
  46. volume_ema1 : 1267620.7606674
  47. volume_ema2 : 4518051.2643477
  48. chop : 75.1543
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 21.9433
  52. ema21 : 21.5766
  53. ema50 : 21.6244
  54. ema100 : 22.5442
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0199425
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0169994
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00221438
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00724326
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.304589
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.177011
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0126334
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.08999
  65. rsi : 0.693685
  66. adx : 0.238529
  67. kc_percentage : 1.25125
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0467844
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.682142
  70. volume_ema1 : 358367.14149866
  71. volume_ema2 : 1127444.8929653
  72. chop : 35.1358
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    113530
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0108291
  78. 5m_price: 
    112301
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.232838
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    117143
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0413403
  83. 15m_price: 
    112301
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.002634
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    120736
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0698695
  88. 1H_price: 
    112301
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.078577
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Oct 2025
22:35:07		 10 Oct 2025
22:50:00		 14 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
22.381 22.8286 21.4859 2 8.912
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 22.381
  • Stop Loss: 22.8286
  • Take Profit: 21.4859

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 22.8286 - 22.381 = 0.4476

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 22.381 - 21.4859 = 0.8951

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8951 / 0.4476 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
400.0442 100 17.8743 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4476

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4476 = 17.87

Taille de position USD = 17.87 x 22.381 = 399.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.87 avec un stoploss a 22.8286

Avec un position size USD de 399.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.87 x 0.4476 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.87 x 0.8951 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.87
  • Taille de position USD 399.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.00
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0374 % 101.88 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.644
            [max_drawdown] => 0.456
            [rr_ratio] => 1.41
            [high] => 22.83700000
            [low] => 21.73700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.88
            [mae_pct] => 2.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T22:35:07-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T00:35:07-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.689
            [max_drawdown] => 0.986
            [rr_ratio] => 0.7
            [high] => 23.36700000
            [low] => 21.69200000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.08
            [mae_pct] => 4.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T22:35:07-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T05:35:07-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 22.53600000
            [high_after] => 22.83700000
            [low_before] => 20.21900000
            [low_after] => 21.69200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)