Short Trade on AAVE 10 Oct 2025 at 22:53:27

Take profit at 226.3787 (3.49 %) and Stop Loss at 238.6507 (1.74 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 10 Oct 2025 at 22:53:27

With 1.9557 AAVE at 234.56$ per unit.

Position size of 458.7234 $

Take profit at 226.3787 (3.49 %) and Stop Loss at 238.6507 (1.74 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.8
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.934003

15m : 0.017995

1H : 0.0774

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 2.727104771
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 234.996
  4. ema21 : 249.171
  5. ema50 : 262.93
  6. ema100 : 272.703
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00185731
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0568885
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0523284
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.139872
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.24142
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.803662
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.434487
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.258555
  17. rsi : 0.365083
  18. adx : 0.515954
  19. kc_percentage : 0.313129
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.314023
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.48611
  22. volume_ema1 : 9188919.2628889
  23. volume_ema2 : 6183201.2016979
  24. chop : -17.8247
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 228.07
  29. ema21 : 228.729
  30. ema50 : 239.772
  31. ema100 : 251.913
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.028453
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00288018
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0460564
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0688861
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.142622
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.128072
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.272446
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.222071
  42. rsi : 0.529515
  43. adx : 0.579761
  44. kc_percentage : 0.70212
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.129079
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.730437
  47. volume_ema1 : 750743.45374579
  48. volume_ema2 : 2785044.7774653
  49. chop : 81.3976
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 231.16
  54. ema21 : 227.92
  55. ema50 : 226.908
  56. ema100 : 231.781
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0147077
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0142144
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00445975
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0119878
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.36656
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.179246
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0535557
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0278472
  67. rsi : 0.662789
  68. adx : 0.202356
  69. kc_percentage : 1.18389
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0404053
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.671942
  72. volume_ema1 : 228788.4958558
  73. volume_ema2 : 697403.61424641
  74. chop : 35.2617
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    113477
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00284242
  81. 5m_price:
    113155
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.934003
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    117034
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0327998
  86. 15m_price:
    113195
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.017995
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    120753
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0629267
  91. 1H_price:
    113155
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.0774
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Oct 2025
22:53:27
10 Oct 2025
23:15:00
21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
234.56 238.6507 226.3787 2 118.87
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 234.56
  • Stop Loss: 238.6507
  • Take Profit: 226.3787

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 238.6507 - 234.56 = 4.0907

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 234.56 - 226.3787 = 8.1813

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.1813 / 4.0907 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
458.7234 100 1.9557 4.59
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 4.0907

Taille de position = 8 / 4.0907 = 1.96

Taille de position USD = 1.96 x 234.56 = 459.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.96 avec un stoploss a 238.6507

Avec un position size USD de 459.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.96 x 4.0907 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.96 x 8.1813 = 16.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.96
  • Taille de position USD 459.74
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 16.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.74 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 3.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 226.3786
            [stop_loss] => 238.6507
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-10 23:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 9.63
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 233.91000000
            [low] => 224.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.11
            [mae_pct] => -0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T22:53:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T00:53:27-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 9.63
            [max_drawdown] => 7.24
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [high] => 241.80000000
            [low] => 224.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.11
            [mae_pct] => 3.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-10T22:53:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T05:53:27-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 234.73000000
            [high_after] => 238.61000000
            [low_before] => 216.65000000
            [low_after] => 224.93000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)