Short Trade on NFP 11 Oct 2025 at 00:29:53

Take profit at 0.03943 (2.35 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04086 (1.19 %)

Short Trade on NFP

The 11 Oct 2025 at 00:29:53

With 16775.9909 NFP at 0.04038$ per unit.

Position size of 677.4145 $

Take profit at 0.03943 (2.35 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04086 (1.19 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.757506

15m : 0.029171

1H : 0.20735

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.0003179146541
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0426185
  4. ema21 : 0.0486321
  5. ema50 : 0.0544584
  6. ema100 : 0.0576092
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0525242
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.123655
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.106987
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.29907
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.42882
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.64693
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.875807
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.484499
  17. rsi : 0.245108
  18. adx : 0.500274
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0989456
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.325758
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.123355
  22. volume_ema1 : 186676.77217371
  23. volume_ema2 : 212944.71098422
  24. chop : -2.32485
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0397619
  29. ema21 : 0.040505
  30. ema50 : 0.0451844
  31. ema100 : 0.0506438
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0155448
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0183467
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.103561
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.202666
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0821624
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.318782
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.576909
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.46058
  42. rsi : 0.447838
  43. adx : 0.520123
  44. kc_percentage : 0.500002
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0993572
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.897679
  47. volume_ema1 : 8729.627387748
  48. volume_ema2 : 85316.662090788
  49. chop : 94.7353
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0399614
  54. ema21 : 0.0397908
  55. ema50 : 0.0400137
  56. ema100 : 0.0422321
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0104735
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00428808
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00557087
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0438567
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0690467
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.017237
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0330886
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.131926
  67. rsi : 0.631184
  68. adx : 0.152469
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00196
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.028692
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.855397
  72. volume_ema1 : 2227.6638712942
  73. volume_ema2 : 15405.44806574
  74. chop : 43.9264
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    113019
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00823297
  81. 5m_price:
    112088
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.757506
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    116518
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0343489
  86. 15m_price:
    112516
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.029171
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    120421
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0692003
  91. 1H_price:
    112088
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.20735
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
00:29:53
11 Oct 2025
00:50:00
20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04038 0.04086 0.03943 1.98 0.01733
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04038
  • Stop Loss: 0.04086
  • Take Profit: 0.03943

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04086 - 0.04038 = 0.00048

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04038 - 0.03943 = 0.00095

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00095 / 0.00048 = 1.9792

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
677.4145 100 16775.9909 6.77
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00048

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00048 = 16666.67

Taille de position USD = 16666.67 x 0.04038 = 673

Donc, tu peux acheter 16666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.04086

Avec un position size USD de 673$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16666.67 x 0.00048 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16666.67 x 0.00095 = 15.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16666.67
  • Taille de position USD 673
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9792

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.35 % 15.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.19 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-8.05 $ -1.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4364 % 120.84 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03943
            [entry_price] => 0.04038
            [stop_loss] => 0.040908
            [rr_ratio] => 1.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03943
            [entry_price] => 0.04038
            [stop_loss] => 0.040956
            [rr_ratio] => 1.65
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03943
            [entry_price] => 0.04038
            [stop_loss] => 0.041004
            [rr_ratio] => 1.52
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 00:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03943
            [entry_price] => 0.04038
            [stop_loss] => 0.0411
            [rr_ratio] => 1.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 01:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00026
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00086
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 0.04124000
            [low] => 0.04012000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 2.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T00:29:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T02:29:53-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00033
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00251
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 0.04289000
            [low] => 0.04005000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.82
            [mae_pct] => 6.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T00:29:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T07:29:53-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04073000
            [high_after] => 0.04287000
            [low_before] => 0.03871000
            [low_after] => 0.04005000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)