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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 00:58:11

Take profit at 3.9775 (3.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1703 (1.57 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 00:58:11

With 124.4901 AR at 4.106$ per unit.

Position size of 511.1565 $

Take profit at 3.9775 (3.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1703 (1.57 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.04
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.881157

15m : -0.039519

1H : -0.039862

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.04284141626
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.20778
  4. ema21 : 4.69992
  5. ema50 : 5.21619
  6. ema100 : 5.52678
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0241885
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.104712
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0989742
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.257072
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.20754
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.53207
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.832848
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.471294
  17. rsi : 0.318202
  18. adx : 0.515557
  19. kc_percentage : 0.170133
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.415059
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0170952
  22. volume_ema1 : 644393.11902032
  23. volume_ema2 : 655600.79043146
  24. chop : -4.81155
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.00821
  28. ema21 : 4.03274
  29. ema50 : 4.36707
  30. ema100 : 4.82545
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0243966
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00608279
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0765567
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.149095
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.206364
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0844885
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.396448
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.363969
  41. rsi : 0.468211
  42. adx : 0.445544
  43. kc_percentage : 0.667262
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.116449
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.827351
  46. volume_ema1 : 44984.371755607
  47. volume_ema2 : 260555.31834318
  48. chop : 79.9834
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.04431
  52. ema21 : 4.0213
  53. ema50 : 4.00596
  54. ema100 : 4.11701
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0152532
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00572133
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00382885
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00267553
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.116833
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0768473
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0363216
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0460611
  65. rsi : 0.652578
  66. adx : 0.089144
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02726
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0384763
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.585312
  70. volume_ema1 : 18134.912308989
  71. volume_ema2 : 43731.53686142
  72. chop : 56.9529
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    112965
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000400184
  78. 5m_price: 
    112919
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.881157
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    116321
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0371323
  83. 15m_price: 
    112001
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.039519
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    120438
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0624261
  88. 1H_price: 
    112919
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.039862
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
00:58:11		 11 Oct 2025
02:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.106 4.1703 3.9775 2 1.735
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.106
  • Stop Loss: 4.1703
  • Take Profit: 3.9775

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1703 - 4.106 = 0.0643

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.106 - 3.9775 = 0.1285

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1285 / 0.0643 = 1.9984

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
511.1565 100 124.4901 5.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0643

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0643 = 124.42

Taille de position USD = 124.42 x 4.106 = 510.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 124.42 avec un stoploss a 4.1703

Avec un position size USD de 510.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 124.42 x 0.0643 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 124.42 x 0.1285 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 124.42
  • Taille de position USD 510.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9984

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.13 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.57 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0214 % 129.08 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9775
            [entry_price] => 4.106
            [stop_loss] => 4.17673
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9775
            [entry_price] => 4.106
            [stop_loss] => 4.18316
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9775
            [entry_price] => 4.106
            [stop_loss] => 4.18959
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9775
            [entry_price] => 4.106
            [stop_loss] => 4.20245
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.096
            [max_drawdown] => 0.096
            [rr_ratio] => 1
            [high] => 4.20200000
            [low] => 4.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.34
            [mae_pct] => 2.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T00:58:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T02:58:11-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.096
            [max_drawdown] => 0.24
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.34
            [mae_pct] => 5.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T00:58:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T07:58:11-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.16100000
            [high_after] => 4.34600000
            [low_before] => 3.73100000
            [low_after] => 4.01000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)