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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 02:23:14

Take profit at 4.0571 (2.87 %) and Stop Loss at 4.237 (1.44 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 02:23:14

With 133.4268 AR at 4.177$ per unit.

Position size of 557.3236 $

Take profit at 4.0571 (2.87 %) and Stop Loss at 4.237 (1.44 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.25
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.584854

15m : 0.007406

1H : 0.15777

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.03997198897
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.18274
  4. ema21 : 4.60228
  5. ema50 : 5.13269
  6. ema100 : 5.4684
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00137406
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0911583
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.103339
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.236157
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.10322
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.59409
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.90992
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.522257
  17. rsi : 0.353683
  18. adx : 0.526847
  19. kc_percentage : 0.236221
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.358393
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.395834
  22. volume_ema1 : 373715.61030595
  23. volume_ema2 : 618564.98182021
  24. chop : 2.14175
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.08124
  28. ema21 : 4.06509
  29. ema50 : 4.3116
  30. ema100 : 4.7424
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0234611
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00397358
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0571727
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.119223
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.211055
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0388134
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.281903
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.311347
  41. rsi : 0.531374
  42. adx : 0.353161
  43. kc_percentage : 0.783141
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0967564
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.81702
  46. volume_ema1 : 40005.856427117
  47. volume_ema2 : 218636.20229388
  48. chop : 85.446
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.10942
  52. ema21 : 4.07939
  53. ema50 : 4.02698
  54. ema100 : 3.91472
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0164438
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0073615
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.013015
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0669958
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0530322
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0530681
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0711876
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0959854
  65. rsi : 0.685033
  66. adx : 0.19779
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11609
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0372114
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.646511
  70. volume_ema1 : 11541.385028044
  71. volume_ema2 : 32649.947827254
  72. chop : 46.3625
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    112392
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000631706
  78. 5m_price: 
    112463
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.584854
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    115892
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0305503
  83. 15m_price: 
    112351
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.007406
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    120072
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0633715
  88. 1H_price: 
    112463
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.15777
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
02:23:14		 11 Oct 2025
04:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.177 4.237 4.0571 2 1.666
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.177
  • Stop Loss: 4.237
  • Take Profit: 4.0571

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.237 - 4.177 = 0.06

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.177 - 4.0571 = 0.1199

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1199 / 0.06 = 1.9983

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
557.3236 100 133.4268 5.57
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.06

Taille de position = 8 / 0.06 = 133.33

Taille de position USD = 133.33 x 4.177 = 556.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 133.33 avec un stoploss a 4.237

Avec un position size USD de 556.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 133.33 x 0.06 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 133.33 x 0.1199 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 133.33
  • Taille de position USD 556.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9983

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.87 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.44 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -1.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7955 % 125 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0571
            [entry_price] => 4.177
            [stop_loss] => 4.243
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0571
            [entry_price] => 4.177
            [stop_loss] => 4.249
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0571
            [entry_price] => 4.177
            [stop_loss] => 4.255
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0571
            [entry_price] => 4.177
            [stop_loss] => 4.267
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.112
            [max_drawdown] => 0.105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.07
            [high] => 4.28200000
            [low] => 4.06500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.68
            [mae_pct] => 2.51
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T02:23:14-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T04:23:14-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.112
            [max_drawdown] => 0.169
            [rr_ratio] => 0.66
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.06500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.68
            [mae_pct] => 4.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T02:23:14-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T09:23:14-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.18900000
            [high_after] => 4.34600000
            [low_before] => 3.91700000
            [low_after] => 4.06500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)