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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 02:34:47

Take profit at 4.0591 (2.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2315 (1.38 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 02:34:47

With 139.2372 AR at 4.174$ per unit.

Position size of 581.1762 $

Take profit at 4.0591 (2.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2315 (1.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.19
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.592146

15m : -0.015999

1H : 0.024019

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.03830393057
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.18214
  4. ema21 : 4.60201
  5. ema50 : 5.13257
  6. ema100 : 5.46834
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00194812
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0912348
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.103372
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.236697
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.10412
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.59449
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.91009
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.522342
  17. rsi : 0.35278
  18. adx : 0.526047
  19. kc_percentage : 0.23589
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.360663
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.362577
  22. volume_ema1 : 395954.87055137
  23. volume_ema2 : 621181.36537849
  24. chop : 2.15436
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.10427
  28. ema21 : 4.07731
  29. ema50 : 4.30775
  30. ema100 : 4.73534
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0169873
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00661387
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0534949
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.118544
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.263347
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0781817
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.25564
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.300009
  41. rsi : 0.538726
  42. adx : 0.330824
  43. kc_percentage : 0.754135
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0927686
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.793431
  46. volume_ema1 : 43856.819045147
  47. volume_ema2 : 212310.93174762
  48. chop : 80.7187
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.13424
  52. ema21 : 4.09664
  53. ema50 : 4.04057
  54. ema100 : 3.93938
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00961718
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00917825
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0138761
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0595563
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.146614
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0985334
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0877356
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0962204
  65. rsi : 0.669433
  66. adx : 0.236355
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00974
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0352852
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.375433
  70. volume_ema1 : 17093.977849134
  71. volume_ema2 : 27369.362253205
  72. chop : 41.2421
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    112438
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00041886
  78. 5m_price: 
    112391
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.592146
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    115846
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0298189
  83. 15m_price: 
    112391
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.015999
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    120071
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0639583
  88. 1H_price: 
    112391
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.024019
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
02:34:47		 11 Oct 2025
04:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.174 4.2315 4.0591 2 1.643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.174
  • Stop Loss: 4.2315
  • Take Profit: 4.0591

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2315 - 4.174 = 0.057499999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.174 - 4.0591 = 0.1149

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1149 / 0.057499999999999 = 1.9983

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
581.1762 100 139.2372 5.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.057499999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.057499999999999 = 139.13

Taille de position USD = 139.13 x 4.174 = 580.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 139.13 avec un stoploss a 4.2315

Avec un position size USD de 580.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 139.13 x 0.057499999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 139.13 x 0.1149 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 139.13
  • Taille de position USD 580.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9983

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.75 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.38 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -1.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8687 % 135.65 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0591
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.23725
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0591
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.243
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0591
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.24875
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0591
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.26025
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.109
            [max_drawdown] => 0.108
            [rr_ratio] => 1.01
            [high] => 4.28200000
            [low] => 4.06500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.61
            [mae_pct] => 2.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T02:34:47-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T04:34:47-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.109
            [max_drawdown] => 0.172
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.06500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.61
            [mae_pct] => 4.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T02:34:47-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T09:34:47-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.20200000
            [high_after] => 4.34600000
            [low_before] => 3.91700000
            [low_after] => 4.06500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)