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Short Trade on NFP

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Short Trade on NFP 11 Oct 2025 at 04:18:35

Take profit at 0.04051 (2.06 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04179 (1.04 %)

Short Trade on NFP

The 11 Oct 2025 at 04:18:35

With 18817.1698 NFP at 0.04136$ per unit.

Position size of 778.2781 $

Take profit at 0.04051 (2.06 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04179 (1.04 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.635838

15m : 0.13634

1H : -0.075228

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.0002834290908
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0415809
  4. ema21 : 0.046166
  5. ema50 : 0.0524729
  6. ema100 : 0.0565174
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00531415
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.099317
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.120193
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.26819
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.29834
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.82466
  15. ema_slope_50 : -1.06739
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.615318
  17. rsi : 0.301223
  18. adx : 0.562668
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0586662
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.244076
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.709904
  22. volume_ema1 : 54394.137155268
  23. volume_ema2 : 187504.5261628
  24. chop : 6.81077
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0407899
  28. ema21 : 0.0407185
  29. ema50 : 0.0430752
  30. ema100 : 0.0477578
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0139764
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00175288
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0547112
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.133964
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0831907
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.022518
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.267801
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.319031
  41. rsi : 0.533866
  42. adx : 0.298991
  43. kc_percentage : 0.782692
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0565766
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.890551
  46. volume_ema1 : 5281.6817639904
  47. volume_ema2 : 48257.430096277
  48. chop : 84.2597
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0408321
  52. ema21 : 0.0407265
  53. ema50 : 0.0405398
  54. ema100 : 0.0401507
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0129271
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00259348
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00460504
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0301186
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0706828
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.027397
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0285149
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0342381
  65. rsi : 0.643479
  66. adx : 0.168111
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0429
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0279906
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.547267
  70. volume_ema1 : 2119.8389969092
  71. volume_ema2 : 4682.3163898317
  72. chop : 44.5918
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111864
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0104249
  78. 5m_price: 
    110698
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.635838
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    115126
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0384597
  83. 15m_price: 
    110698
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.13634
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119698
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0751908
  88. 1H_price: 
    110698
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.075228
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
04:18:35		 11 Oct 2025
04:45:00		 26 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04136 0.04179 0.04051 1.98 0.01733
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04136
  • Stop Loss: 0.04179
  • Take Profit: 0.04051

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04179 - 0.04136 = 0.00043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04136 - 0.04051 = 0.00085

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00085 / 0.00043 = 1.9767

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
778.2781 100 18817.1698 7.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00043

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00043 = 18604.65

Taille de position USD = 18604.65 x 0.04136 = 769.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 18604.65 avec un stoploss a 0.04179

Avec un position size USD de 769.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18604.65 x 0.00043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18604.65 x 0.00085 = 15.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.81$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18604.65
  • Taille de position USD 769.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.81
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9767

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.06 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.04 % 8.09 $
PNL PNL %
-8.09 $ -1.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2814 % 123.25 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04051
            [entry_price] => 0.04136
            [stop_loss] => 0.041833
            [rr_ratio] => 1.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04051
            [entry_price] => 0.04136
            [stop_loss] => 0.041876
            [rr_ratio] => 1.65
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04051
            [entry_price] => 0.04136
            [stop_loss] => 0.041919
            [rr_ratio] => 1.52
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04051
            [entry_price] => 0.04136
            [stop_loss] => 0.042005
            [rr_ratio] => 1.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 04:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00023
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00129
            [rr_ratio] => 0.18
            [high] => 0.04265000
            [low] => 0.04113000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 3.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T04:18:35-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T06:18:35-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00023
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00659
            [rr_ratio] => 0.03
            [high] => 0.04795000
            [low] => 0.04113000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 15.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T04:18:35-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T11:18:35-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04139000
            [high_after] => 0.04361000
            [low_before] => 0.04005000
            [low_after] => 0.04113000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)