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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 04:25:27

Take profit at 4.1251 (2.82 %) and Stop Loss at 4.305 (1.41 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 04:25:27

With 133.4443 AR at 4.245$ per unit.

Position size of 566.4709 $

Take profit at 4.1251 (2.82 %) and Stop Loss at 4.305 (1.41 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.36
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.180901

15m : 0.127423

1H : 0.073917

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.0399667496
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.17744
  4. ema21 : 4.52525
  5. ema50 : 5.05894
  6. ema100 : 5.42818
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.016171
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0768594
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.105493
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.217971
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.84923
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.56034
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.943354
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.554876
  17. rsi : 0.379182
  18. adx : 0.532087
  19. kc_percentage : 0.309825
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.312089
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.507025
  22. volume_ema1 : 292359.16039495
  23. volume_ema2 : 593051.81228169
  24. chop : 7.34629
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.15248
  28. ema21 : 4.11408
  29. ema50 : 4.26776
  30. ema100 : 4.65199
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0222793
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00933276
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0360091
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0874876
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.21594
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.132247
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.154675
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.244278
  41. rsi : 0.588741
  42. adx : 0.234293
  43. kc_percentage : 0.882336
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0802511
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.682889
  46. volume_ema1 : 55644.318551626
  47. volume_ema2 : 175473.1819367
  48. chop : 74.9994
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.19396
  52. ema21 : 4.1587
  53. ema50 : 4.11613
  54. ema100 : 4.08785
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0121689
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00847859
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.010343
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0384417
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.137061
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0923864
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0697653
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0449069
  65. rsi : 0.679434
  66. adx : 0.311061
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02986
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0374408
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0309452
  70. volume_ema1 : 21143.478429101
  71. volume_ema2 : 21818.661471362
  72. chop : 41.039
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111838
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00944454
  78. 5m_price: 
    110782
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.180901
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    115124
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0390757
  83. 15m_price: 
    110626
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.127423
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119700
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0745052
  88. 1H_price: 
    110782
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.073917
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
04:25:27		 11 Oct 2025
05:00:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.245 4.305 4.1251 2 1.675
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.245
  • Stop Loss: 4.305
  • Take Profit: 4.1251

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.305 - 4.245 = 0.06

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.245 - 4.1251 = 0.1199

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1199 / 0.06 = 1.9983

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
566.4709 100 133.4443 5.66
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.06

Taille de position = 8 / 0.06 = 133.33

Taille de position USD = 133.33 x 4.245 = 565.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 133.33 avec un stoploss a 4.305

Avec un position size USD de 565.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 133.33 x 0.06 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 133.33 x 0.1199 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 133.33
  • Taille de position USD 565.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9983

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.41 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0495 % 145 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1251
            [entry_price] => 4.245
            [stop_loss] => 4.311
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1251
            [entry_price] => 4.245
            [stop_loss] => 4.317
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1251
            [entry_price] => 4.245
            [stop_loss] => 4.323
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1251
            [entry_price] => 4.245
            [stop_loss] => 4.335
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.055
            [max_drawdown] => 0.101
            [rr_ratio] => 0.54
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.19000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.3
            [mae_pct] => 2.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T04:25:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T06:25:27-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.157
            [max_drawdown] => 0.101
            [rr_ratio] => 1.55
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.08800000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.7
            [mae_pct] => 2.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T04:25:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T11:25:27-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.28200000
            [high_after] => 4.34600000
            [low_before] => 3.99400000
            [low_after] => 4.08800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)