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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 05:01:01

Take profit at 4.169 (2.53 %) and Stop Loss at 4.331 (1.26 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 05:01:01

With 148.1176 AR at 4.277$ per unit.

Position size of 633.4988 $

Take profit at 4.169 (2.53 %) and Stop Loss at 4.331 (1.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 2.49
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.605706

15m : 0.024331

1H : -0.055814

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.03600743347
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.20263
  4. ema21 : 4.5054
  5. ema50 : 5.02805
  6. ema100 : 5.3952
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0176943
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0672016
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.103946
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.207259
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.37302
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.37592
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.881819
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.526981
  17. rsi : 0.389411
  18. adx : 0.531122
  19. kc_percentage : 0.331573
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.280191
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.598191
  22. volume_ema1 : 231020.96356358
  23. volume_ema2 : 574953.45323502
  24. chop : 9.48751
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.20562
  28. ema21 : 4.14998
  29. ema50 : 4.26647
  30. ema100 : 4.62826
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.016971
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0134072
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0273036
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0758956
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.29293
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.192888
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0980088
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.213031
  41. rsi : 0.603434
  42. adx : 0.213911
  43. kc_percentage : 0.919072
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0697128
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.708693
  46. volume_ema1 : 47578.839483373
  47. volume_ema2 : 163329.36656288
  48. chop : 67.6217
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.24526
  52. ema21 : 4.20391
  53. ema50 : 4.149
  54. ema100 : 4.11229
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00747533
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00983568
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0132359
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0400513
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.23436
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.167004
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.11032
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0679498
  65. rsi : 0.67279
  66. adx : 0.341077
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01376
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0320088
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.295958
  70. volume_ema1 : 15529.670070099
  71. volume_ema2 : 22057.895075474
  72. chop : 45.4451
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111770
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00452832
  78. 5m_price: 
    111264
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.605706
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    114925
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0318615
  83. 15m_price: 
    111264
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.024331
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119474
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0687211
  88. 1H_price: 
    111264
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.055814
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
05:01:01		 11 Oct 2025
05:05:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.277 4.331 4.169 2 1.643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.277
  • Stop Loss: 4.331
  • Take Profit: 4.169

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.331 - 4.277 = 0.054

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.277 - 4.169 = 0.108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.108 / 0.054 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
633.4988 100 148.1176 6.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.054

Taille de position = 8 / 0.054 = 148.15

Taille de position USD = 148.15 x 4.277 = 633.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 148.15 avec un stoploss a 4.331

Avec un position size USD de 633.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 148.15 x 0.054 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 148.15 x 0.108 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 148.15
  • Taille de position USD 633.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6133 % 127.78 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.169
            [entry_price] => 4.277
            [stop_loss] => 4.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.169
            [entry_price] => 4.277
            [stop_loss] => 4.3418
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.169
            [entry_price] => 4.277
            [stop_loss] => 4.3472
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.169
            [entry_price] => 4.277
            [stop_loss] => 4.358
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.073
            [max_drawdown] => 0.069
            [rr_ratio] => 1.06
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.20400000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.71
            [mae_pct] => 1.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T05:01:01-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T07:01:01-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.189
            [max_drawdown] => 0.069
            [rr_ratio] => 2.74
            [high] => 4.34600000
            [low] => 4.08800000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.42
            [mae_pct] => 1.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T05:01:01-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T12:01:01-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.33200000
            [high_after] => 4.34600000
            [low_before] => 4.01000000
            [low_after] => 4.08800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)