Short Trade on AXS
The 11 Oct 2025 at 05:09:02
With 402.5719 AXS at 1.678$ per unit.
Position size of 675.5156 $
Take profit at 1.6383 (2.37 %) and Stop Loss at 1.6979 (1.19 %)
That's a 1.99 RR TradePosition size of 675.5156 $
Take profit at 1.6383 (2.37 %) and Stop Loss at 1.6979 (1.19 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.640387 15m : -0.082478 1H : 0.02695 |
3 |
Indicators:
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 05:09:02 |
11 Oct 2025 05:50:00 |
40 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.678 | 1.6979 | 1.6383 | 1.99 | 0.925 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6979 - 1.678 = 0.0199
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.678 - 1.6383 = 0.0397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0397 / 0.0199 = 1.995
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 675.5156 | 100 | 402.5719 | 6.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0199 = 402.01
Taille de position USD = 402.01 x 1.678 = 674.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 402.01 avec un stoploss a 1.6979
Avec un position size USD de 674.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 402.01 x 0.0199 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 402.01 x 0.0397 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.37 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 2.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0596 % | 5.03 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.6382
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.62825
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 05:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.6183
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.60835
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.5984
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.58845
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.5785
[stop_loss] => 1.6979
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.053
[max_drawdown] => 0.0010000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 53
[high] => 1.67900000
[low] => 1.62500000
[mfe_pct] => 3.16
[mae_pct] => 0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 53
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-11T05:09:02-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-11T07:09:02-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.107
[max_drawdown] => 0.0010000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 1.67900000
[low] => 1.57100000
[mfe_pct] => 6.38
[mae_pct] => 0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 107
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-11T05:09:02-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-11T12:09:02-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.69800000
[high_after] => 1.67900000
[low_before] => 1.57000000
[low_after] => 1.57100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)