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Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 11 Oct 2025 at 05:34:54

Take profit at 0.01533 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01567 (0.71 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 11 Oct 2025 at 05:34:54

With 70752.0319 ARPA at 0.01556$ per unit.

Position size of 1100.9016 $

Take profit at 0.01533 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01567 (0.71 %)

That's a 2.09 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.59514

15m : 0.161078

1H : 0.049995

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 7.538063844E-5
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0155278
  4. ema21 : 0.016771
  5. ema50 : 0.0185261
  6. ema100 : 0.0196321
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0020679
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0741255
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0947376
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.207421
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.62482
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.39872
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.838034
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.48535
  17. rsi : 0.295133
  18. adx : 0.651091
  19. kc_percentage : 0.135394
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.196307
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.481531
  22. volume_ema1 : 50503.292445478
  23. volume_ema2 : 97408.589363466
  24. chop : 2.293
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0153924
  28. ema21 : 0.0152928
  29. ema50 : 0.015865
  30. ema100 : 0.0171805
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.010885
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00651053
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0360614
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0943241
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.144951
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0493006
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.179506
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.242173
  41. rsi : 0.579468
  42. adx : 0.313372
  43. kc_percentage : 0.879196
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0454923
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.732354
  46. volume_ema1 : 7430.2184048192
  47. volume_ema2 : 27761.458013338
  48. chop : 63.7209
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0155119
  52. ema21 : 0.0153977
  53. ema50 : 0.0152552
  54. ema100 : 0.015129
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00309666
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00741623
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00934232
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0284827
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.180588
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.140913
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0854231
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0561053
  65. rsi : 0.674189
  66. adx : 0.291259
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04607
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181787
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.459718
  70. volume_ema1 : 2099.9209081213
  71. volume_ema2 : 3886.7162792901
  72. chop : 38.0329
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111575
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000840222
  78. 5m_price: 
    111482
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.59514
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    114844
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0292827
  83. 15m_price: 
    111482
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.161078
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119478
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.066931
  88. 1H_price: 
    111482
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.049995
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
05:34:54		 11 Oct 2025
07:00:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01556 0.01567 0.01533 2.09 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01556
  • Stop Loss: 0.01567
  • Take Profit: 0.01533

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01567 - 0.01556 = 0.00011

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01556 - 0.01533 = 0.00023

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00023 / 0.00011 = 2.0909

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1100.9016 100 70752.0319 11.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00011

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00011 = 72727.27

Taille de position USD = 72727.27 x 0.01556 = 1131.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 72727.27 avec un stoploss a 0.01567

Avec un position size USD de 1131.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 72727.27 x 0.00011 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 72727.27 x 0.00023 = 16.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 72727.27
  • Taille de position USD 1131.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0909

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.48 % 16.27 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.71 % 7.78 $
PNL PNL %
-7.78 $ -0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0283 % 145.47 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01556
            [stop_loss] => 0.015681
            [rr_ratio] => 1.9
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01556
            [stop_loss] => 0.015692
            [rr_ratio] => 1.74
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01556
            [stop_loss] => 0.015703
            [rr_ratio] => 1.61
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01556
            [stop_loss] => 0.015725
            [rr_ratio] => 1.39
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 9.9999999999999E-5
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00016
            [rr_ratio] => 0.62
            [high] => 0.01572000
            [low] => 0.01546000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 1.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T05:34:54-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T07:34:54-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00033
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00158
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 0.01714000
            [low] => 0.01523000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.12
            [mae_pct] => 10.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T05:34:54-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T12:34:54-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01567000
            [high_after] => 0.01600000
            [low_before] => 0.01498000
            [low_after] => 0.01523000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)