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Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 11 Oct 2025 at 06:30:50

Take profit at 0.01548 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01573 (0.51 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 11 Oct 2025 at 06:30:50

With 96805.7353 ARPA at 0.01565$ per unit.

Position size of 1515.0098 $

Take profit at 0.01548 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01573 (0.51 %)

That's a 2.12 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 2.34
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.71
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.562227

15m : 0.119512

1H : -0.042701

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 5.509315452E-5
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0155427
  4. ema21 : 0.0166641
  5. ema50 : 0.0184105
  6. ema100 : 0.019548
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00690279
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.067298
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0948585
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.199408
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.30744
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.27957
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.80453
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.473515
  17. rsi : 0.310528
  18. adx : 0.6566
  19. kc_percentage : 0.172588
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.17975
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.608588
  22. volume_ema1 : 36768.223923652
  23. volume_ema2 : 93937.609424341
  24. chop : 6.56404
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0155233
  28. ema21 : 0.0153922
  29. ema50 : 0.0158263
  30. ema100 : 0.0170604
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00815867
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00851585
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0274299
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0826721
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.229827
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.123357
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.115395
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.207616
  41. rsi : 0.601032
  42. adx : 0.258477
  43. kc_percentage : 0.954002
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0358123
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.877301
  46. volume_ema1 : 2947.1708094293
  47. volume_ema2 : 24019.583070978
  48. chop : 59.5656
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0155951
  52. ema21 : 0.0155239
  53. ema50 : 0.0153805
  54. ema100 : 0.0152498
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00351898
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00458409
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00932308
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0262368
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0446731
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0682679
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.065222
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0479236
  65. rsi : 0.682675
  66. adx : 0.310336
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11108
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0125388
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.764427
  70. volume_ema1 : 634.63695778595
  71. volume_ema2 : 2694.0240769053
  72. chop : 66.1168
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111677
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00419779
  78. 5m_price: 
    112146
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.562227
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    114580
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0212462
  83. 15m_price: 
    112146
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.119512
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119305
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0600082
  88. 1H_price: 
    112146
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.042701
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
06:30:50		 11 Oct 2025
06:40:00		 9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01565 0.01573 0.01548 2.12 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01565
  • Stop Loss: 0.01573
  • Take Profit: 0.01548

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01573 - 0.01565 = 8.0E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01565 - 0.01548 = 0.00017

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00017 / 8.0E-5 = 2.125

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1515.0098 100 96805.7353 15.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 8.0E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 8.0E-5 = 100000

Taille de position USD = 100000 x 0.01565 = 1565

Donc, tu peux acheter 100000 avec un stoploss a 0.01573

Avec un position size USD de 1565$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 100000 x 8.0E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 100000 x 0.00017 = 17

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 100000
  • Taille de position USD 1565
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 17
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.125

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.09 % 16.46 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.51 % 7.74 $
PNL PNL %
16.46 $ 1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0639 % 12.5 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01549
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01545
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01541
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01537
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01529
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01525
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01521
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01517
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01513
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01509
            [stop_loss] => 0.01573
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00019
            [max_drawdown] => 7.0000000000001E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 2.71
            [high] => 0.01572000
            [low] => 0.01546000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.21
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T06:30:50-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T08:30:50-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00042
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00149
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 0.01714000
            [low] => 0.01523000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.68
            [mae_pct] => 9.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T06:30:50-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T13:30:50-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01567000
            [high_after] => 0.01714000
            [low_before] => 0.01498000
            [low_after] => 0.01523000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)