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Short Trade on NFP

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Short Trade on NFP 11 Oct 2025 at 07:56:53

Take profit at 0.04252 (1.78 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04367 (0.88 %)

Short Trade on NFP

The 11 Oct 2025 at 07:56:53

With 20879.729 NFP at 0.04329$ per unit.

Position size of 903.8835 $

Take profit at 0.04252 (1.78 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04367 (0.88 %)

That's a 2.03 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 4.18
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.551394

15m : 0.171141

1H : -0.011829

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.0002554311569
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0422111
  4. ema21 : 0.0453425
  5. ema50 : 0.0513895
  6. ema100 : 0.0557612
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0255587
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0690607
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.11767
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.223655
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.01731
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.3296
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.914797
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.557283
  17. rsi : 0.377319
  18. adx : 0.565717
  19. kc_percentage : 0.295864
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.198876
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.743433
  22. volume_ema1 : 43658.055173438
  23. volume_ema2 : 170162.74100139
  24. chop : 62.1898
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0424832
  28. ema21 : 0.0420099
  29. ema50 : 0.0428096
  30. ema100 : 0.0465713
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0189899
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0112662
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0186797
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0704589
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.271532
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.226516
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0366816
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.193404
  41. rsi : 0.589709
  42. adx : 0.211155
  43. kc_percentage : 1.11924
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0467042
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.81725
  46. volume_ema1 : 5496.6631776741
  47. volume_ema2 : 30077.54170477
  48. chop : 61.8486
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0428283
  52. ema21 : 0.0426156
  53. ema50 : 0.0421472
  54. ema100 : 0.0414791
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0107795
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00499021
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0111148
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0436578
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0600368
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0563221
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0691382
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0669096
  65. rsi : 0.67452
  66. adx : 0.199718
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13837
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0238367
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.4597
  70. volume_ema1 : 7491.4156154602
  71. volume_ema2 : 3045.6590250002
  72. chop : 37.7185
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111750
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00348474
  78. 5m_price: 
    112140
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.551394
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    114372
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0201314
  83. 15m_price: 
    112070
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.171141
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119186
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0591243
  88. 1H_price: 
    112140
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.011829
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
07:56:53		 11 Oct 2025
08:35:00		 38 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04329 0.04367 0.04252 2.03 0.01733
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04329
  • Stop Loss: 0.04367
  • Take Profit: 0.04252

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04367 - 0.04329 = 0.00038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04329 - 0.04252 = 0.00077

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00077 / 0.00038 = 2.0263

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
903.8835 100 20879.729 9.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00038

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00038 = 21052.63

Taille de position USD = 21052.63 x 0.04329 = 911.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 21052.63 avec un stoploss a 0.04367

Avec un position size USD de 911.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21052.63 x 0.00038 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21052.63 x 0.00077 = 16.21

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21052.63
  • Taille de position USD 911.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.21
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0263

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.78 % 16.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.88 % 7.93 $
PNL PNL %
16.08 $ 1.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3003 % 34.21 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04253
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04234
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04215
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 08:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04196
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04177
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04158
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04139
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0412
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04101
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04082
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04063
            [stop_loss] => 0.04367
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00158
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00013
            [rr_ratio] => 12.15
            [high] => 0.04342000
            [low] => 0.04171000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.65
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T07:56:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T09:56:53-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00158
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00532
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 0.04861000
            [low] => 0.04171000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.65
            [mae_pct] => 12.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T07:56:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T14:56:53-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04330000
            [high_after] => 0.04861000
            [low_before] => 0.04055000
            [low_after] => 0.04171000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)