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Short Trade on NFP

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Short Trade on NFP 11 Oct 2025 at 10:07:12

Take profit at 0.0423 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04377 (1.13 %)

Short Trade on NFP

The 11 Oct 2025 at 10:07:12

With 16400.8076 NFP at 0.04328$ per unit.

Position size of 709.827 $

Take profit at 0.0423 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04377 (1.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.39
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.477163

15m : 0.012472

1H : -0.036576

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.0003251872394
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0425402
  4. ema21 : 0.0447215
  5. ema50 : 0.0504419
  6. ema100 : 0.0551641
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0173883
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0487745
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.113404
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.215432
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.286547
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.944247
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.791328
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.514626
  17. rsi : 0.38702
  18. adx : 0.559454
  19. kc_percentage : 0.337897
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.170578
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.64468
  22. volume_ema1 : 57024.736755883
  23. volume_ema2 : 160488.62206851
  24. chop : 78.3189
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0427245
  28. ema21 : 0.0424436
  29. ema50 : 0.0428058
  30. ema100 : 0.0460041
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130015
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00661665
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00846001
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.059216
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0823708
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.129879
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00643878
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.156689
  41. rsi : 0.624833
  42. adx : 0.175523
  43. kc_percentage : 0.842108
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0548336
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.354167
  46. volume_ema1 : 19896.364084212
  47. volume_ema2 : 30807.309945222
  48. chop : 61.1208
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0427482
  52. ema21 : 0.0426197
  53. ema50 : 0.0424534
  54. ema100 : 0.0420885
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.01244
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00301456
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00391772
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0283085
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0417666
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0035335
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0145212
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0251219
  65. rsi : 0.629158
  66. adx : 0.157802
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00408
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0300681
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.309135
  70. volume_ema1 : 4747.3442815362
  71. volume_ema2 : 6871.5985882758
  72. chop : 39.918
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111995
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00247453
  78. 5m_price: 
    112272
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.477163
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    114084
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0158848
  83. 15m_price: 
    112272
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.012472
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    118861
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0554339
  88. 1H_price: 
    112272
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.036576
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
10:07:12		 11 Oct 2025
10:20:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04328 0.04377 0.0423 2 0.01733
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04328
  • Stop Loss: 0.04377
  • Take Profit: 0.0423

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04377 - 0.04328 = 0.00049

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04328 - 0.0423 = 0.00098

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00098 / 0.00049 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
709.827 100 16400.8076 7.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00049

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00049 = 16326.53

Taille de position USD = 16326.53 x 0.04328 = 706.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 16326.53 avec un stoploss a 0.04377

Avec un position size USD de 706.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16326.53 x 0.00049 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16326.53 x 0.00098 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16326.53
  • Taille de position USD 706.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.26 % 16.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.13 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
-8.04 $ -1.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4787 % 130.6 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0423
            [entry_price] => 0.04328
            [stop_loss] => 0.043819
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0423
            [entry_price] => 0.04328
            [stop_loss] => 0.043868
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0423
            [entry_price] => 0.04328
            [stop_loss] => 0.043917
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0423
            [entry_price] => 0.04328
            [stop_loss] => 0.044015
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 10:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00024
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00533
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 0.04861000
            [low] => 0.04304000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 12.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T10:07:12-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T12:07:12-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0031
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00533
            [rr_ratio] => 0.58
            [high] => 0.04861000
            [low] => 0.04018000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.16
            [mae_pct] => 12.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.58
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T10:07:12-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T17:07:12-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04342000
            [high_after] => 0.04861000
            [low_before] => 0.04171000
            [low_after] => 0.04195000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)