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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 11:07:02

Take profit at 4.1744 (2.22 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3163 (1.11 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 11:07:02

With 169.1971 AR at 4.269$ per unit.

Position size of 722.3022 $

Take profit at 4.1744 (2.22 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3163 (1.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.542069

15m : 0.099952

1H : -0.015243

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.03152143144
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.21352
  4. ema21 : 4.3787
  5. ema50 : 4.85539
  6. ema100 : 5.27035
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0131656
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.037724
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0981768
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.189997
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0387789
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.666442
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.645159
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.438368
  17. rsi : 0.412871
  18. adx : 0.5195
  19. kc_percentage : 0.393143
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.198484
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.661551
  22. volume_ema1 : 167312.0969304
  23. volume_ema2 : 494349.72794973
  24. chop : 79.0796
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.19819
  28. ema21 : 4.19999
  29. ema50 : 4.23514
  30. ema100 : 4.47833
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0168651
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00042835
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0082989
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0467448
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.108631
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0442032
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0556716
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.143563
  41. rsi : 0.596666
  42. adx : 0.142086
  43. kc_percentage : 0.814861
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0511642
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.521626
  46. volume_ema1 : 45452.182619542
  47. volume_ema2 : 95013.946600385
  48. chop : 56.835
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.20467
  52. ema21 : 4.1895
  53. ema50 : 4.19469
  54. ema100 : 4.1892
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0152977
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00362048
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00123505
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.019047
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0604419
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0107054
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0107865
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00293573
  65. rsi : 0.666927
  66. adx : 0.232289
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12294
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0298093
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.023854
  70. volume_ema1 : 18276.57892803
  71. volume_ema2 : 18723.20403395
  72. chop : 42.8664
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111934
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000906186
  78. 5m_price: 
    112036
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.542069
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    113820
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0156729
  83. 15m_price: 
    112036
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.099952
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    118783
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0567989
  88. 1H_price: 
    112036
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.015243
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
11:07:02		 11 Oct 2025
12:30:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.269 4.3163 4.1744 2 1.654
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.269
  • Stop Loss: 4.3163
  • Take Profit: 4.1744

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3163 - 4.269 = 0.0473

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.269 - 4.1744 = 0.0946

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0946 / 0.0473 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
722.3022 100 169.1971 7.22
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0473

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0473 = 169.13

Taille de position USD = 169.13 x 4.269 = 722.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 169.13 avec un stoploss a 4.3163

Avec un position size USD de 722.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 169.13 x 0.0473 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 169.13 x 0.0946 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 169.13
  • Taille de position USD 722.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.22 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 2.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2342 % 21.14 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1744
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 12:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.15075
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 12:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1271
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.10345
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0798
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.05615
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0325
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.00885
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9852
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.96155
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9379
            [stop_loss] => 4.3163
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.134
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 13.4
            [high] => 4.27900000
            [low] => 4.13500000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T11:07:02-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T13:07:02-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.435
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 43.5
            [high] => 4.27900000
            [low] => 3.83400000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 43.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T11:07:02-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-11T18:07:02-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.29000000
            [high_after] => 4.27900000
            [low_before] => 4.08800000
            [low_after] => 3.83400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)