Short Trade on ARK
The 11 Oct 2025 at 11:27:47
With 3907.9125 ARK at 0.3655$ per unit.
Position size of 1428.342 $
Take profit at 0.3614 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3675 (0.55 %)
That's a 2.05 RR TradePosition size of 1428.342 $
Take profit at 0.3614 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3675 (0.55 %)
That's a 2.05 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.96 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.644871 15m : -0.063885 1H : -0.007405 |
2 |
Indicators:
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 11:27:47 |
11 Oct 2025 12:10:00 |
42 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3655 | 0.3675 | 0.3614 | 2.05 | 0.2632 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3675 - 0.3655 = 0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3655 - 0.3614 = 0.0041
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0041 / 0.002 = 2.05
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1428.342 | 100 | 3907.9125 | 14.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.002 = 4000
Taille de position USD = 4000 x 0.3655 = 1462
Donc, tu peux acheter 4000 avec un stoploss a 0.3675
Avec un position size USD de 1462$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4000 x 0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4000 x 0.0041 = 16.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.4$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 7.82 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.82 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5746 % | 105.01 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3614
[entry_price] => 0.3655
[stop_loss] => 0.3677
[rr_ratio] => 1.86
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3614
[entry_price] => 0.3655
[stop_loss] => 0.3679
[rr_ratio] => 1.71
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3614
[entry_price] => 0.3655
[stop_loss] => 0.3681
[rr_ratio] => 1.58
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3614
[entry_price] => 0.3655
[stop_loss] => 0.3685
[rr_ratio] => 1.37
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-11 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0035
[max_drawdown] => 0.0021
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[high] => 0.36760000
[low] => 0.36200000
[mfe_pct] => 0.96
[mae_pct] => 0.57
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-11T11:27:47-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-11T13:27:47-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0236
[max_drawdown] => 0.0021
[rr_ratio] => 11.24
[high] => 0.36760000
[low] => 0.34190000
[mfe_pct] => 6.46
[mae_pct] => 0.57
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-11T11:27:47-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-11T18:27:47-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.36630000
[high_after] => 0.36760000
[low_before] => 0.35520000
[low_after] => 0.34190000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)