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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 11 Oct 2025 at 22:39:51

Take profit at 4.0021 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1879 (1.5 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 11 Oct 2025 at 22:39:51

With 129.1807 AR at 4.126$ per unit.

Position size of 532.9994 $

Take profit at 4.0021 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1879 (1.5 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.5
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.676556

15m : -0.101659

1H : -0.219556

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.04128584851
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.04002
  4. ema21 : 4.15104
  5. ema50 : 4.55844
  6. ema100 : 4.99062
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0212805
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0267456
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0893715
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.173249
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.316755
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.452954
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.53738
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.404364
  17. rsi : 0.446748
  18. adx : 0.502369
  19. kc_percentage : 0.47949
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.143921
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.270823
  22. volume_ema1 : 300853.53247128
  23. volume_ema2 : 412593.59252962
  24. chop : 70.2421
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.0404
  28. ema21 : 4.02198
  29. ema50 : 4.04665
  30. ema100 : 4.04155
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0211848
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00457893
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00609479
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0208933
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.074066
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00170951
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0404957
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0164602
  41. rsi : 0.646136
  42. adx : 0.267104
  43. kc_percentage : 0.931763
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0584928
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.54536
  46. volume_ema1 : 104562.05277671
  47. volume_ema2 : 67661.910585995
  48. chop : 38.2986
  49. regime : bull_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.07123
  52. ema21 : 4.03031
  53. ema50 : 4.01101
  54. ema100 : 4.02354
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0134505
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0101531
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00481166
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0254638
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.23302
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.116333
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0431894
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00938063
  65. rsi : 0.709238
  66. adx : 0.311095
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01288
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0443341
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.485113
  70. volume_ema1 : 43893.304810443
  71. volume_ema2 : 29555.530820165
  72. chop : 21.568
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    110582
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00408325
  78. 5m_price: 
    110130
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.676556
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    111124
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00640902
  83. 15m_price: 
    110412
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.101659
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    116783
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0569679
  88. 1H_price: 
    110130
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.219556
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Oct 2025
22:39:51		 11 Oct 2025
23:35:00		 55 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.126 4.1879 4.0021 2 1.634
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.126
  • Stop Loss: 4.1879
  • Take Profit: 4.0021

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1879 - 4.126 = 0.0619

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.126 - 4.0021 = 0.1239

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1239 / 0.0619 = 2.0016

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
532.9994 100 129.1807 5.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0619

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0619 = 129.24

Taille de position USD = 129.24 x 4.126 = 533.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 129.24 avec un stoploss a 4.1879

Avec un position size USD de 533.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 129.24 x 0.0619 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 129.24 x 0.1239 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 129.24
  • Taille de position USD 533.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0016

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.5 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5996 % 106.63 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0021
            [entry_price] => 4.126
            [stop_loss] => 4.19409
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 00:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0021
            [entry_price] => 4.126
            [stop_loss] => 4.20028
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 00:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0021
            [entry_price] => 4.126
            [stop_loss] => 4.20647
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 00:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0021
            [entry_price] => 4.126
            [stop_loss] => 4.21885
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 00:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.064
            [max_drawdown] => 0.154
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 4.28000000
            [low] => 4.06200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.55
            [mae_pct] => 3.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T22:39:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-12T00:39:51-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.064
            [max_drawdown] => 0.228
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 4.35400000
            [low] => 4.06200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.55
            [mae_pct] => 5.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-11T22:39:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-12T05:39:51-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.17400000
            [high_after] => 4.35400000
            [low_before] => 3.92800000
            [low_after] => 4.06200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)