Short Trade on AVAX 12 Oct 2025 at 00:21:41

Take profit at 21.0405 (1.7 %) and Stop Loss at 21.5857 (0.85 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Oct 2025 at 00:21:41

With 44.017 AVAX at 21.404$ per unit.

Position size of 942.1393 $

Take profit at 21.0405 (1.7 %) and Stop Loss at 21.5857 (0.85 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 5.74
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.739383

15m : -0.095089

1H : 0.056344

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.1211653862
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 21.3249
  4. ema21 : 21.9358
  5. ema50 : 23.5199
  6. ema100 : 25.1659
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00370512
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0278458
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0673537
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.149487
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.497402
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.442165
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.429488
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.318447
  17. rsi : 0.391253
  18. adx : 0.614351
  19. kc_percentage : 0.300976
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.11183
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.449598
  22. volume_ema1 : 3685945.2164869
  23. volume_ema2 : 6696835.2662227
  24. chop : 57.116
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 21.1234
  29. ema21 : 21.1794
  30. ema50 : 21.525
  31. ema100 : 21.7986
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0132796
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00264293
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0160546
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0181034
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0195289
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0965897
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.114403
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0789279
  42. rsi : 0.533759
  43. adx : 0.259251
  44. kc_percentage : 0.74016
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0458237
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.293686
  47. volume_ema1 : 840183.47752293
  48. volume_ema2 : 1189532.7713687
  49. chop : 58.0224
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 21.2127
  54. ema21 : 21.1183
  55. ema50 : 21.1167
  56. ema100 : 21.2242
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0090171
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00446721
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 7.84292E-5
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00846954
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0930229
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0582894
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0129552
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00638379
  67. rsi : 0.676685
  68. adx : 0.205122
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09515
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0220905
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.449749
  72. volume_ema1 : 210814.81066434
  73. volume_ema2 : 383124.96014105
  74. chop : 48.1574
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    110489
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00445597
  81. 5m_price:
    110982
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.739383
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    111157
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00158141
  86. 15m_price:
    110982
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.095089
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    116630
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0484261
  91. 1H_price:
    110982
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.056344
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Oct 2025
00:21:41
12 Oct 2025
05:00:00
4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
21.404 21.5857 21.0405 2 9.396
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 21.404
  • Stop Loss: 21.5857
  • Take Profit: 21.0405

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 21.5857 - 21.404 = 0.1817

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 21.404 - 21.0405 = 0.3635

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3635 / 0.1817 = 2.0006

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
942.1393 100 44.017 9.42
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1817

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1817 = 44.03

Taille de position USD = 44.03 x 21.404 = 942.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 44.03 avec un stoploss a 21.5857

Avec un position size USD de 942.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 44.03 x 0.1817 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 44.03 x 0.3635 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 44.03
  • Taille de position USD 942.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0006

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.7 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.85 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6961 % 82 % 26

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 21.0406
            [stop_loss] => 21.5857
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 05:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 20.94975
            [stop_loss] => 21.5857
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 05:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.177
            [max_drawdown] => 0.038
            [rr_ratio] => 4.66
            [high] => 21.44200000
            [low] => 21.22700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.83
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-12T00:21:41-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-12T02:21:41-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.5
            [max_drawdown] => 0.149
            [rr_ratio] => 3.36
            [high] => 21.55300000
            [low] => 20.90400000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-12T00:21:41-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-12T07:21:41-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 21.44700000
            [high_after] => 21.55300000
            [low_before] => 20.64300000
            [low_after] => 20.90400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)