Short Trade on ORDI 14 Oct 2025 at 10:17:43
Take profit at 5.37 (2.38 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5665 (1.19 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 14 Oct 2025 at 10:17:43
Take profit at 5.37 (2.38 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5665 (1.19 %)
Position size of 672.0185 $
Take profit at 5.37 (2.38 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5665 (1.19 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.74 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.811406 15m : 0.108172 1H : 0.216623 |
3 |
Indicators:
111345
0.00487364
111888
0.811406
112942
-0.00932965
111888
0.108172
114442
-0.0223123
111888
0.216623
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-11 05:00:00
[1] => 5.347
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-11 09:00:00
[1] => 4.964
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-11 17:00:00
[1] => 4.618
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-12 02:00:00
[1] => 5.139
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-12 16:00:00
[1] => 5.652
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 00:00:00
[1] => 5.422
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 07:00:00
[1] => 5.386
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 17:00:00
[1] => 6.081
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 09:00:00
[1] => 5.261
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 10:00:00
[1] => 5.511
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52622028669933
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2007222961414
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7519482988025
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 18:30:00
[1] => 5.957
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 20:00:00
[1] => 6.049
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 20:45:00
[1] => 5.936
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 21:45:00
[1] => 6.04
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 02:45:00
[1] => 5.363
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 05:30:00
[1] => 5.502
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:30:00
[1] => 5.276
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 07:30:00
[1] => 5.464
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 09:30:00
[1] => 5.261
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 10:15:00
[1] => 5.511
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52622028669933
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2007222961414
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7519482988025
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 03:15:00
[1] => 5.527
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 04:00:00
[1] => 5.377
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 04:40:00
[1] => 5.49
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 05:30:00
[1] => 5.502
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:30:00
[1] => 5.276
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 07:35:00
[1] => 5.464
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 08:45:00
[1] => 5.299
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 08:55:00
[1] => 5.299
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 09:35:00
[1] => 5.261
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 10:15:00
[1] => 5.511
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52622028669933
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2007222961414
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7519482988025
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 03:15:00 | 5.527 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 04:00:00 | 5.377 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 04:40:00 | 5.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 05:30:00 | 5.502 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 06:30:00 | 5.276 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 07:35:00 | 5.464 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 08:45:00 | 5.299 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 08:55:00 | 5.299 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 09:35:00 | 5.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 10:15:00 | 5.511 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 18:30:00 | 5.957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-13 20:00:00 | 6.049 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-13 20:45:00 | 5.936 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-13 21:45:00 | 6.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 02:45:00 | 5.363 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 05:30:00 | 5.502 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 06:30:00 | 5.276 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 07:30:00 | 5.464 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 09:30:00 | 5.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 10:15:00 | 5.511 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 05:00:00 | 5.347 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-11 09:00:00 | 4.964 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-11 17:00:00 | 4.618 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-12 02:00:00 | 5.139 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-12 16:00:00 | 5.652 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-13 00:00:00 | 5.422 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-13 07:00:00 | 5.386 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-13 17:00:00 | 6.081 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 09:00:00 | 5.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 10:00:00 | 5.511 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 10:17:43 |
14 Oct 2025 11:50:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.501 | 5.5665 | 5.37 | 2 | 2.585 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.5665 - 5.501 = 0.065499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.501 - 5.37 = 0.131
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.131 / 0.065499999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 672.0185 | 100 | 122.163 | 6.72 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.065499999999999 = 122.14
Taille de position USD = 122.14 x 5.501 = 671.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 122.14 avec un stoploss a 5.5665
Avec un position size USD de 671.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 122.14 x 0.065499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 122.14 x 0.131 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9269 % | 161.83 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.37
[entry_price] => 5.501
[stop_loss] => 5.57305
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-14 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.37
[entry_price] => 5.501
[stop_loss] => 5.5796
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-14 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.37
[entry_price] => 5.501
[stop_loss] => 5.58615
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-14 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.37
[entry_price] => 5.501
[stop_loss] => 5.59925
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-14 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.117
[max_drawdown] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 0.91
[high] => 5.63000000
[low] => 5.38400000
[mfe_pct] => 2.13
[mae_pct] => 2.35
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.91
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-14T10:17:43-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-14T12:17:43-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.117
[max_drawdown] => 0.23
[rr_ratio] => 0.51
[high] => 5.73100000
[low] => 5.38400000
[mfe_pct] => 2.13
[mae_pct] => 4.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.51
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-14T10:17:43-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-14T17:17:43-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.51100000
[high_after] => 5.73100000
[low_before] => 5.26100000
[low_after] => 5.38400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)