Short Trade on MERL 15 Oct 2025 at 01:18:09

Take profit at 0.3145 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3207 (0.66 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 15 Oct 2025 at 01:18:09

With 3861.8053 MERL at 0.3186$ per unit.

Position size of 1230.3712 $

Take profit at 0.3145 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3207 (0.66 %)

That's a 1.95 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.25
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.183141

15m : 0.382003

1H : 0.221978

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.00138104667
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.318224
  4. ema21 : 0.32423
  5. ema50 : 0.334097
  6. ema100 : 0.340916
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00118084
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0185233
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0295334
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0654598
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.458351
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.356826
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.242697
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.149289
  17. rsi : 0.427034
  18. adx : 0.265553
  19. kc_percentage : 0.317612
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0888385
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.365366
  22. volume_ema1 : 220027.14095457
  23. volume_ema2 : 346699.47680309
  24. chop : 35.6489
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.316051
  29. ema21 : 0.316724
  30. ema50 : 0.320472
  31. ema100 : 0.325512
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00806419
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00212465
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0116957
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0212357
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0777762
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0684421
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0800345
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0695111
  42. rsi : 0.52845
  43. adx : 0.198021
  44. kc_percentage : 0.678078
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0348122
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.413299
  47. volume_ema1 : 52271.475187339
  48. volume_ema2 : 89093.926092689
  49. chop : 55.8472
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.31589
  54. ema21 : 0.315355
  55. ema50 : 0.31594
  56. ema100 : 0.316773
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00857616
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00169625
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00185071
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00576579
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0680399
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0182561
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00683209
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00931353
  67. rsi : 0.663799
  68. adx : 0.176745
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09169
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0172197
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.755861
  72. volume_ema1 : 38173.315930545
  73. volume_ema2 : 21740.508231143
  74. chop : 40.8496
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    112586
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0014576
  81. 5m_price:
    112422
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.183141
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    112514
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000816158
  86. 15m_price:
    112422
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.382003
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    113026
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.005341
  91. 1H_price:
    112422
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.221978
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-12 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3458
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-12 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3828
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3401
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3563
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3286
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3599
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3254
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3466
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3258
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2099447513812
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1176470588235
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4705882352941
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 02:45:00
                        [1] => 0.3392
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 06:30:00
                        [1] => 0.3268
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 07:45:00
                        [1] => 0.3326
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.3254
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 12:15:00
                        [1] => 0.3466
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.3194
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:30:00
                        [1] => 0.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 20:45:00
                        [1] => 0.3258
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.3112
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.3188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.062735257214548
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3778920308483
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4421593830334
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3103
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:40:00
                        [1] => 0.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 20:55:00
                        [1] => 0.3258
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 21:50:00
                        [1] => 0.3217
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 22:05:00
                        [1] => 0.3171
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 22:20:00
                        [1] => 0.322
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 23:55:00
                        [1] => 0.3112
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 00:20:00
                        [1] => 0.3158
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 01:05:00
                        [1] => 0.3142
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.3188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.062735257214548
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4003819223425
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4640356460853
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.46%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0051
1.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0085
2.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 19:00:00 0.3103 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 19:40:00 0.306 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 20:55:00 0.3258 ↑ High
2025-10-14 21:50:00 0.3217 ↑ High
2025-10-14 22:05:00 0.3171 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 22:20:00 0.322 ↑ High
2025-10-14 23:55:00 0.3112 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 00:20:00 0.3158 ↑ High
2025-10-15 01:05:00 0.3142 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 01:15:00 0.3188 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.44%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0259
8.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0085
2.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 02:45:00 0.3392 ↑ High
2025-10-14 06:30:00 0.3268 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 07:45:00 0.3326 ↑ High
2025-10-14 09:15:00 0.3254 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:15:00 0.3466 ↑ High
2025-10-14 15:45:00 0.3194 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 19:30:00 0.306 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 20:45:00 0.3258 ↑ High
2025-10-14 23:45:00 0.3112 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 01:15:00 0.3188 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.12%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0621
19.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0085
2.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-12 05:00:00 0.3458 ↓ Low
2025-10-12 13:00:00 0.3828 ↑ High
2025-10-13 00:00:00 0.3401 ↓ Low
2025-10-13 04:00:00 0.3563 ↑ High
2025-10-13 09:00:00 0.3286 ↓ Low
2025-10-13 13:00:00 0.3599 ↑ High
2025-10-14 09:00:00 0.3254 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:00:00 0.3466 ↑ High
2025-10-14 19:00:00 0.306 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 21:00:00 0.3258 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Oct 2025
01:18:09
15 Oct 2025
03:35:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3186 0.3207 0.3145 1.95 0.04381
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3186
  • Stop Loss: 0.3207
  • Take Profit: 0.3145

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3207 - 0.3186 = 0.0021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3186 - 0.3145 = 0.0041

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0041 / 0.0021 = 1.9524

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1230.3712 100 3861.8053 12.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52

Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.3186 = 1213.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.3207

Avec un position size USD de 1213.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0041 = 15.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3809.52
  • Taille de position USD 1213.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9524

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.29 % 15.83 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8.11 $
PNL PNL %
15.83 $ 1.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2197 % 33.33 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3144
            [stop_loss] => 0.3207
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-15 03:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00069999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 5.29
            [high] => 0.31930000
            [low] => 0.31490000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-15T01:18:09-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-15T03:18:09-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0051
            [max_drawdown] => 0.012
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 0.33060000
            [low] => 0.31350000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.6
            [mae_pct] => 3.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-15T01:18:09-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-15T08:18:09-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.32250000
            [high_after] => 0.32060000
            [low_before] => 0.31120000
            [low_after] => 0.31350000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)