Short Trade on MERL 15 Oct 2025 at 01:18:09
Take profit at 0.3145 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3207 (0.66 %)
Short Trade on MERL 15 Oct 2025 at 01:18:09
Take profit at 0.3145 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3207 (0.66 %)
Position size of 1230.3712 $
Take profit at 0.3145 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3207 (0.66 %)
That's a 1.95 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.6 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.183141 15m : 0.382003 1H : 0.221978 |
1 |
Indicators:
112586
-0.0014576
112422
0.183141
112514
-0.000816158
112422
0.382003
113026
-0.005341
112422
0.221978
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-12 05:00:00
[1] => 0.3458
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-12 13:00:00
[1] => 0.3828
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 00:00:00
[1] => 0.3401
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3563
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3286
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 13:00:00
[1] => 0.3599
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3254
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
[1] => 0.3466
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
[1] => 0.306
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 21:00:00
[1] => 0.3258
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2099447513812
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1176470588235
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4705882352941
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 02:45:00
[1] => 0.3392
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:30:00
[1] => 0.3268
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 07:45:00
[1] => 0.3326
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 09:15:00
[1] => 0.3254
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 12:15:00
[1] => 0.3466
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 15:45:00
[1] => 0.3194
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 19:30:00
[1] => 0.306
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 20:45:00
[1] => 0.3258
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:45:00
[1] => 0.3112
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 01:15:00
[1] => 0.3188
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.062735257214548
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3778920308483
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4421593830334
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
[1] => 0.3103
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 19:40:00
[1] => 0.306
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 20:55:00
[1] => 0.3258
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 21:50:00
[1] => 0.3217
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 22:05:00
[1] => 0.3171
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 22:20:00
[1] => 0.322
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:55:00
[1] => 0.3112
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 00:20:00
[1] => 0.3158
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 01:05:00
[1] => 0.3142
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 01:15:00
[1] => 0.3188
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.062735257214548
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4003819223425
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4640356460853
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 19:00:00 | 0.3103 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 19:40:00 | 0.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 20:55:00 | 0.3258 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 21:50:00 | 0.3217 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 22:05:00 | 0.3171 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 22:20:00 | 0.322 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:55:00 | 0.3112 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 00:20:00 | 0.3158 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 01:05:00 | 0.3142 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 01:15:00 | 0.3188 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 02:45:00 | 0.3392 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 06:30:00 | 0.3268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 07:45:00 | 0.3326 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 09:15:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 12:15:00 | 0.3466 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 15:45:00 | 0.3194 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 19:30:00 | 0.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 20:45:00 | 0.3258 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:45:00 | 0.3112 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 01:15:00 | 0.3188 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 05:00:00 | 0.3458 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-12 13:00:00 | 0.3828 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-13 00:00:00 | 0.3401 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-13 04:00:00 | 0.3563 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-13 09:00:00 | 0.3286 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-13 13:00:00 | 0.3599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 12:00:00 | 0.3466 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 19:00:00 | 0.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 21:00:00 | 0.3258 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 01:18:09 |
15 Oct 2025 03:35:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3186 | 0.3207 | 0.3145 | 1.95 | 0.04381 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3207 - 0.3186 = 0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3186 - 0.3145 = 0.0041
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0041 / 0.0021 = 1.9524
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1230.3712 | 100 | 3861.8053 | 12.30 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52
Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.3186 = 1213.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.3207
Avec un position size USD de 1213.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0041 = 15.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.62$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 15.83 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.83 $ | 1.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2197 % | 33.33 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3144
[stop_loss] => 0.3207
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-15 03:40:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0037
[max_drawdown] => 0.00069999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 5.29
[high] => 0.31930000
[low] => 0.31490000
[mfe_pct] => 1.16
[mae_pct] => 0.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.29
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-15T01:18:09-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-15T03:18:09-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0051
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 0.42
[high] => 0.33060000
[low] => 0.31350000
[mfe_pct] => 1.6
[mae_pct] => 3.77
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-15T01:18:09-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-15T08:18:09-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.32250000
[high_after] => 0.32060000
[low_before] => 0.31120000
[low_after] => 0.31350000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)