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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 15 Oct 2025 at 18:36:26

Take profit at 4.2368 (1.58 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3391 (0.79 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Oct 2025 at 18:36:26

With 234.7184 AR at 4.305$ per unit.

Position size of 1010.4627 $

Take profit at 4.2368 (1.58 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3391 (0.79 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.5
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.844059

15m : -0.070431

1H : 0.264576

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.02272226306
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.29373
  4. ema21 : 4.35672
  5. ema50 : 4.41162
  6. ema100 : 4.37454
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00262309
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0144582
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0124426
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0158977
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.387372
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.254357
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.126843
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0361647
  17. rsi : 0.418208
  18. adx : 0.337513
  19. kc_percentage : 0.363584
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.081281
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.377636
  22. volume_ema1 : 147054.86778589
  23. volume_ema2 : 236284.64725452
  24. chop : 43.239
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.25797
  28. ema21 : 4.26762
  29. ema50 : 4.31745
  30. ema100 : 4.37266
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0110444
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00226076
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115422
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0154747
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0523147
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0711643
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0812269
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0640138
  41. rsi : 0.530876
  42. adx : 0.333709
  43. kc_percentage : 0.724689
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401525
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.0342621
  46. volume_ema1 : 45343.760503681
  47. volume_ema2 : 43841.649483598
  48. chop : 59.457
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.26682
  52. ema21 : 4.2534
  53. ema50 : 4.25897
  54. ema100 : 4.28256
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00894616
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00315555
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00130821
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00523801
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0580917
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.020796
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00654845
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.01619
  65. rsi : 0.654736
  66. adx : 0.206302
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06897
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0209161
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.23627
  70. volume_ema1 : 30527.989607953
  71. volume_ema2 : 13651.280794537
  72. chop : 43.9454
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111155
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000819755
  78. 5m_price: 
    111246
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.844059
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    111768
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00532032
  83. 15m_price: 
    111174
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.070431
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    112360
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00991645
  88. 1H_price: 
    111246
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.264576
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Oct 2025
18:36:26		 15 Oct 2025
22:05:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.305 4.3391 4.2368 2 1.691
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.305
  • Stop Loss: 4.3391
  • Take Profit: 4.2368

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3391 - 4.305 = 0.0341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.305 - 4.2368 = 0.0682

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0682 / 0.0341 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1010.4627 100 234.7184 10.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0341

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0341 = 234.6

Taille de position USD = 234.6 x 4.305 = 1009.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 234.6 avec un stoploss a 4.3391

Avec un position size USD de 1009.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 234.6 x 0.0341 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 234.6 x 0.0682 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 234.6
  • Taille de position USD 1009.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.58 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0918 % 137.84 % 26

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2368
            [entry_price] => 4.305
            [stop_loss] => 4.34251
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-15 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2368
            [entry_price] => 4.305
            [stop_loss] => 4.34592
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-15 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2368
            [entry_price] => 4.305
            [stop_loss] => 4.34933
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-15 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.045999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.03
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [high] => 4.33500000
            [low] => 4.25900000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.07
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-15T18:36:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-15T20:36:26-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.1
            [max_drawdown] => 0.047000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.13
            [high] => 4.35200000
            [low] => 4.20500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.32
            [mae_pct] => 1.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-15T18:36:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T01:36:26-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.31900000
            [high_after] => 4.35200000
            [low_before] => 4.17200000
            [low_after] => 4.24800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)