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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 16 Oct 2025 at 00:28:10

Take profit at 0.2979 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3041 (0.7 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 16 Oct 2025 at 00:28:10

With 3872.4927 MERL at 0.302$ per unit.

Position size of 1169.4928 $

Take profit at 0.2979 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3041 (0.7 %)

That's a 1.95 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.400484

15m : 0.098181

1H : -0.05551

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.001377235212
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.300114
  4. ema21 : 0.306205
  5. ema50 : 0.317665
  6. ema100 : 0.32838
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00628158
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0198898
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0360766
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0803359
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.618126
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.452733
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.3079
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.204898
  17. rsi : 0.44242
  18. adx : 0.240697
  19. kc_percentage : 0.368542
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0935996
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.459543
  22. volume_ema1 : 154280.68934656
  23. volume_ema2 : 285463.91421521
  24. chop : 38.7728
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.298102
  28. ema21 : 0.297969
  29. ema50 : 0.301774
  30. ema100 : 0.306632
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130747
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000446741
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.012608
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0151086
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0679049
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00618779
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0641468
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0636095
  41. rsi : 0.539213
  42. adx : 0.234061
  43. kc_percentage : 0.891035
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.034622
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.122155
  46. volume_ema1 : 50354.478969557
  47. volume_ema2 : 57361.516121033
  48. chop : 55.214
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.299532
  52. ema21 : 0.298592
  53. ema50 : 0.297754
  54. ema100 : 0.297307
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00823711
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00314887
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0028146
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0157827
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0301443
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0166956
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0135695
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0084874
  65. rsi : 0.669204
  66. adx : 0.295763
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12047
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0179243
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.0392376
  70. volume_ema1 : 14955.86800314
  71. volume_ema2 : 14391.190871667
  72. chop : 46.35
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    111174
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00289115
  78. 5m_price: 
    111495
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.400484
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    111379
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0014215
  83. 15m_price: 
    111537
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.098181
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    112052
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00497129
  88. 1H_price: 
    111495
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.05551
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-13 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3563
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3286
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-13 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3599
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3254
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3466
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.306
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3258
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3392
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2928
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3034
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3295978905735
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2786885245902
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.620218579235
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 10:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3392
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3243
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2955
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2964
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 0.293
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 19:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3004
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2928
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3034
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2962
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 00:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3027
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099108027750255
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0931802835922
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1944632005402
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2939
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 19:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3004
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 20:05:00
                    [1] => 0.2951
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 20:55:00
                    [1] => 0.2928
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 21:10:00
                    [1] => 0.2964
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 21:50:00
                    [1] => 0.2947
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:20:00
                    [1] => 0.2989
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:55:00
                    [1] => 0.3034
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 0.2962
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 00:25:00
                    [1] => 0.3027
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099108027750255
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0931802835922
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1944632005402
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0007
0.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0051
1.71%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-15 19:00:00 0.2939 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 19:15:00 0.3004 ↑ High
2025-10-15 20:05:00 0.2951 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 20:55:00 0.2928 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 21:10:00 0.2964 ↑ High
2025-10-15 21:50:00 0.2947 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:20:00 0.2989 ↑ High
2025-10-15 22:55:00 0.3034 ↑ High
2025-10-15 23:55:00 0.2962 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 00:25:00 0.3027 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0351
11.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0051
1.71%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-15 10:15:00 0.3392 ↑ High
2025-10-15 11:00:00 0.3243 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 14:00:00 0.2955 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 16:00:00 0.2964 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 18:15:00 0.293 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 19:15:00 0.3004 ↑ High
2025-10-15 20:45:00 0.2928 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:45:00 0.3034 ↑ High
2025-10-15 23:45:00 0.2962 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 00:15:00 0.3027 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.28%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0558
18.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0051
1.71%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-13 04:00:00 0.3563 ↑ High
2025-10-13 09:00:00 0.3286 ↓ Low
2025-10-13 13:00:00 0.3599 ↑ High
2025-10-14 09:00:00 0.3254 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:00:00 0.3466 ↑ High
2025-10-14 19:00:00 0.306 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 21:00:00 0.3258 ↑ High
2025-10-15 10:00:00 0.3392 ↑ High
2025-10-15 20:00:00 0.2928 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 0.3034 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
00:28:10		 16 Oct 2025
01:20:00		 51 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.302 0.3041 0.2979 1.95 0.04362
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.302
  • Stop Loss: 0.3041
  • Take Profit: 0.2979

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3041 - 0.302 = 0.0021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.302 - 0.2979 = 0.0041

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0041 / 0.0021 = 1.9524

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1169.4928 100 3872.4927 11.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52

Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.302 = 1150.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.3041

Avec un position size USD de 1150.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0041 = 15.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3809.52
  • Taille de position USD 1150.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9524

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.36 % 15.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.7 % 8.13 $
PNL PNL %
15.88 $ 1.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1656 % 23.81 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2978
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 01:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.29675
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 03:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2957
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 03:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.29465
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2936
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.29255
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 04:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2915
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 04:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.29045
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2894
            [stop_loss] => 0.3041
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0052
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0005
            [rr_ratio] => 10.4
            [high] => 0.30250000
            [low] => 0.29680000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.72
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T00:28:10-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T02:28:10-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0133
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0005
            [rr_ratio] => 26.6
            [high] => 0.30250000
            [low] => 0.28870000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 26.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T00:28:10-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T07:28:10-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.30340000
            [high_after] => 0.30250000
            [low_before] => 0.29280000
            [low_after] => 0.28870000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)