Short Trade on AAVE 16 Oct 2025 at 02:34:18

Take profit at 239.9709 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 243.2546 (0.45 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 16 Oct 2025 at 02:34:18

With 7.3089 AAVE at 242.16$ per unit.

Position size of 1769.9289 $

Take profit at 239.9709 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 243.2546 (0.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 5.55
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.751084

15m : 0.050797

1H : -0.120957

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.7297016135
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 241.26
  4. ema21 : 243.529
  5. ema50 : 246.316
  6. ema100 : 245.238
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00372958
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00931637
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0113185
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0125543
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.169391
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.191584
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.113066
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0406697
  17. rsi : 0.442159
  18. adx : 0.342762
  19. kc_percentage : 0.409422
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.054009
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.510553
  22. volume_ema1 : 1067455.0717714
  23. volume_ema2 : 2180942.4708758
  24. chop : 75.7269
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 240.888
  29. ema21 : 240.946
  30. ema50 : 242.084
  31. ema100 : 244.882
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00527756
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000241427
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00469915
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0111189
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0285543
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0277433
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0341425
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0408654
  42. rsi : 0.551108
  43. adx : 0.227187
  44. kc_percentage : 0.720065
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0230799
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.588923
  47. volume_ema1 : 150586.13022209
  48. volume_ema2 : 366321.39180928
  49. chop : 61.1246
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 240.969
  54. ema21 : 240.628
  55. ema50 : 240.75
  56. ema100 : 240.971
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00494019
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141831
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000507136
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00493077
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0386606
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0176808
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00109972
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00177728
  67. rsi : 0.649608
  68. adx : 0.199162
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02479
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.011983
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.541848
  72. volume_ema1 : 45451.001855873
  73. volume_ema2 : 99205.157511179
  74. chop : 41.1106
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    111127
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00247949
  81. 5m_price:
    111403
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.751084
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    111378
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000223733
  86. 15m_price:
    111403
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.050797
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    112101
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00623043
  91. 1H_price:
    111403
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.120957
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 00:00:00
                        [1] => 246.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 03:00:00
                        [1] => 255.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 07:00:00
                        [1] => 243.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 21:00:00
                        [1] => 263.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 237.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 256.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 262.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 236.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 243.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 00:00:00
                        [1] => 238.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6642883503506
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7130620985011
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3932485199647
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 04:30:00
                        [1] => 262.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 238.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 14:45:00
                        [1] => 243.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 16:30:00
                        [1] => 236.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 17:30:00
                        [1] => 241.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 19:30:00
                        [1] => 242.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 240.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 243.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 00:45:00
                        [1] => 238.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 242.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.033012833739121
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7130620985011
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7466515514129
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 21:15:00
                        [1] => 243.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:05:00
                        [1] => 243.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:40:00
                        [1] => 241.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:55:00
                        [1] => 242.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 23:55:00
                        [1] => 239.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 00:30:00
                        [1] => 241.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 00:45:00
                        [1] => 238.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 01:40:00
                        [1] => 241.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 01:50:00
                        [1] => 238.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 242.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.033012833739121
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4787198391421
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5122319034853
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.51%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6154
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8009
0.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-15 21:15:00 243.14 ↑ High
2025-10-15 22:05:00 243.87 ↑ High
2025-10-15 22:40:00 241.62 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:55:00 242.97 ↑ High
2025-10-15 23:55:00 239.6 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 00:30:00 241.4 ↑ High
2025-10-16 00:45:00 238.17 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 01:40:00 241.62 ↑ High
2025-10-16 01:50:00 238.72 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 02:30:00 242.33 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.71%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.75%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.2354
7.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4909
1.45%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-15 04:30:00 262.49 ↑ High
2025-10-15 13:30:00 238.89 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 14:45:00 243.08 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:30:00 236.48 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 17:30:00 241.72 ↑ High
2025-10-15 19:30:00 242.53 ↑ High
2025-10-15 20:30:00 240.2 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 243.87 ↑ High
2025-10-16 00:45:00 238.17 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 02:30:00 242.33 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.71%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.0454
8.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4909
1.45%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-13 00:00:00 246.58 ↓ Low
2025-10-13 03:00:00 255.58 ↑ High
2025-10-13 07:00:00 243.86 ↓ Low
2025-10-13 21:00:00 263.3 ↑ High
2025-10-14 09:00:00 237.96 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 19:00:00 256.66 ↑ High
2025-10-15 04:00:00 262.49 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:00:00 236.48 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 243.87 ↑ High
2025-10-16 00:00:00 238.17 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
02:34:18
16 Oct 2025
04:25:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
242.16 243.2546 239.9709 2 119.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 242.16
  • Stop Loss: 243.2546
  • Take Profit: 239.9709

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 243.2546 - 242.16 = 1.0946

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 242.16 - 239.9709 = 2.1891

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1891 / 1.0946 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1769.9289 100 7.3089 17.70
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.0946

Taille de position = 8 / 1.0946 = 7.31

Taille de position USD = 7.31 x 242.16 = 1770.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.31 avec un stoploss a 243.2546

Avec un position size USD de 1770.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.31 x 1.0946 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.31 x 2.1891 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.31
  • Taille de position USD 1770.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.9 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3345 % 74 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.9708
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.4235
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 04:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.8762
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.3289
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7816
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.2343
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.687
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.1397
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.5924
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.0451
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.4978
            [stop_loss] => 243.2546
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.24
            [max_drawdown] => 0.81
            [rr_ratio] => 2.77
            [high] => 242.97000000
            [low] => 239.92000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T02:34:18-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T04:34:18-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.96
            [max_drawdown] => 4.01
            [rr_ratio] => 2.23
            [high] => 246.17000000
            [low] => 233.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.7
            [mae_pct] => 1.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T02:34:18-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T09:34:18-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 242.97000000
            [high_after] => 246.17000000
            [low_before] => 238.17000000
            [low_after] => 233.20000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)