Short Trade on AAPL 16 Oct 2025 at 16:37:06
Take profit at 246.99 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 247.875 (0.12 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 16 Oct 2025 at 16:37:06
Take profit at 246.99 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 247.875 (0.12 %)
Position size of 6714.1337 $
Take profit at 246.99 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 247.875 (0.12 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.84 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.19855 15m : -0.095642 1H : 0.042313 |
3 |
Indicators:
109027
-0.0118112
107740
0.19855
110080
-0.0245328
107380
-0.095642
111915
-0.0373091
107740
0.042313
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 12:00:00
[1] => 249.66
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 22:00:00
[1] => 248.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
[1] => 245.07
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 15:00:00
[1] => 248.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 01:00:00
[1] => 249.19
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
[1] => 251.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 13:00:00
[1] => 247.63
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 20:00:00
[1] => 248.71
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:00:00
[1] => 250.69
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
[1] => 245.23
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2684989429176
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92973942829181
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2264812624883
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 02:30:00
[1] => 250.56
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 04:15:00
[1] => 250.53
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 250.01
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
[1] => 250.69
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 07:30:00
[1] => 249.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:45:00
[1] => 250.66
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 09:30:00
[1] => 246.96
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 11:15:00
[1] => 248.89
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:30:00
[1] => 245.23
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:45:00
[1] => 247.74
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092839266973447
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92973942829181
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.023528932023
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 10:25:00
[1] => 247.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 11:25:00
[1] => 248.89
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:45:00
[1] => 246.46
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 13:00:00
[1] => 247.63
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 13:30:00
[1] => 247.37
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:30:00
[1] => 245.23
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:10:00
[1] => 246.88
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:50:00
[1] => 247.74
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 247.58
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:35:00
[1] => 247.18
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.028273689312554
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.13350594708309
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.16182539040376
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 10:25:00 | 247.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 11:25:00 | 248.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 12:45:00 | 246.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 13:00:00 | 247.63 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 13:30:00 | 247.37 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 14:30:00 | 245.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 15:10:00 | 246.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 15:50:00 | 247.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 247.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:35:00 | 247.18 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 02:30:00 | 250.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 04:15:00 | 250.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 250.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:15:00 | 250.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 07:30:00 | 249.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:45:00 | 250.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 09:30:00 | 246.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 11:15:00 | 248.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 14:30:00 | 245.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 15:45:00 | 247.74 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 12:00:00 | 249.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-13 22:00:00 | 248.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 06:00:00 | 245.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 15:00:00 | 248.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 01:00:00 | 249.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 10:00:00 | 251.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 13:00:00 | 247.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 20:00:00 | 248.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:00:00 | 250.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 14:00:00 | 245.23 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 16:37:06 |
16 Oct 2025 22:10:00 |
5 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247.58 | 247.875 | 246.99 | 2 | 271.28 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 247.875 - 247.58 = 0.29499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 247.58 - 246.99 = 0.59
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.59 / 0.29499999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6714.1337 | 100 | 27.119 | 67.14 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.29499999999999 = 27.12
Taille de position USD = 27.12 x 247.58 = 6714.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 27.12 avec un stoploss a 247.875
Avec un position size USD de 6714.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 27.12 x 0.29499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 27.12 x 0.59 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0242 % | 20.3 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 246.99
[stop_loss] => 247.875
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.47
[max_drawdown] => 0.059999999999974
[rr_ratio] => 7.83
[high] => 247.64000000
[low] => 247.11000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.19
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.83
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T16:37:06-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-16T18:37:06-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.59
[max_drawdown] => 0.059999999999974
[rr_ratio] => 9.83
[high] => 247.64000000
[low] => 246.99000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.24
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.83
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T16:37:06-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-16T23:37:06-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 247.74000000
[high_after] => 247.64000000
[low_before] => 245.23000000
[low_after] => 246.99000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)