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Short Trade on ARIA

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Short Trade on ARIA 16 Oct 2025 at 17:49:42

Take profit at 0.1487 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1523 (0.79 %)

Short Trade on ARIA

The 16 Oct 2025 at 17:49:42

With 6633.3229 ARIA at 0.1511$ per unit.

Position size of 1002.4941 $

Take profit at 0.1487 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1523 (0.79 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.408787

15m : 0.136223

1H : -0.105935

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.0008040213682
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.150295
  4. ema21 : 0.152566
  5. ema50 : 0.15343
  6. ema100 : 0.152221
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00554967
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0148816
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00563524
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00716829
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.319317
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.259702
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.095711
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0233459
  17. rsi : 0.468798
  18. adx : 0.187123
  19. kc_percentage : 0.428986
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.120935
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.255214
  22. volume_ema1 : 189330.62411736
  23. volume_ema2 : 254208.27173662
  24. chop : 64.7318
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.14956
  28. ema21 : 0.14928
  29. ema50 : 0.15081
  30. ema100 : 0.153562
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0104945
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00187772
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0101488
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0158412
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.086444
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00359582
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0558374
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.065061
  41. rsi : 0.57477
  42. adx : 0.143866
  43. kc_percentage : 0.791105
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0425066
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.811459
  46. volume_ema1 : 12430.141438221
  47. volume_ema2 : 65928.192684774
  48. chop : 59.2096
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.150095
  52. ema21 : 0.149413
  53. ema50 : 0.148981
  54. ema100 : 0.149191
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00688991
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00456896
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00289523
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0129938
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0895978
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0492337
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0225062
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00563591
  65. rsi : 0.670772
  66. adx : 0.189175
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06188
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0197932
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.775655
  70. volume_ema1 : 3467.8148899647
  71. volume_ema2 : 15457.516150883
  72. chop : 48.0547
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    108762
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00372177
  78. 5m_price: 
    108357
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.408787
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109837
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0134778
  83. 15m_price: 
    108357
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.136223
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111855
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0312745
  88. 1H_price: 
    108357
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.105935
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.14543
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.16449
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1635
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.17265
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1549
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.16793
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.147
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.15852
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.15121
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052906553799368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6606648199446
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7160664819945
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:45:00
                    [1] => 0.15845
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.15852
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 09:45:00
                    [1] => 0.14896
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.15442
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.14538
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.14975
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.15066
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:45:00
                    [1] => 0.14768
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.15121
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052906553799368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3361321776815
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3903033586132
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.15042
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 11:10:00
                    [1] => 0.15442
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.14538
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.14975
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 14:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.14956
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 15:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1497
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.15066
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:45:00
                    [1] => 0.14768
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:40:00
                    [1] => 0.15121
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052906553799368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3361321776815
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3903033586132
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0021
1.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0043
2.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 11:00:00 0.15042 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 11:10:00 0.15442 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.14538 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:30:00 0.14975 ↑ High
2025-10-16 14:10:00 0.1444 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 14:45:00 0.14956 ↑ High
2025-10-16 15:20:00 0.1497 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 0.15066 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:45:00 0.14768 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:40:00 0.15121 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0062
4.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0043
2.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 05:45:00 0.15845 ↑ High
2025-10-16 08:15:00 0.15852 ↑ High
2025-10-16 09:45:00 0.14896 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 11:00:00 0.15442 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.14538 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:30:00 0.14975 ↑ High
2025-10-16 14:00:00 0.1444 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 16:00:00 0.15066 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:45:00 0.14768 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:30:00 0.15121 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0204
13.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0043
2.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 16:00:00 0.14543 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 22:00:00 0.16449 ↑ High
2025-10-15 04:00:00 0.1635 ↑ High
2025-10-15 10:00:00 0.17265 ↑ High
2025-10-15 15:00:00 0.1549 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 19:00:00 0.16793 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 0.147 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 0.15852 ↑ High
2025-10-16 14:00:00 0.1444 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:00:00 0.15121 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
17:49:42		 16 Oct 2025
18:35:00		 45 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1511 0.1523 0.1487 2 0.08057
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1511
  • Stop Loss: 0.1523
  • Take Profit: 0.1487

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1523 - 0.1511 = 0.0012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1511 - 0.1487 = 0.0024

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0024 / 0.0012 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1002.4941 100 6633.3229 10.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0012 = 6666.67

Taille de position USD = 6666.67 x 0.1511 = 1007.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 6666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1523

Avec un position size USD de 1007.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6666.67 x 0.0012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6666.67 x 0.0024 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6666.67
  • Taille de position USD 1007.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.59 % 15.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.79 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9398 % 118.33 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1487
            [entry_price] => 0.1511
            [stop_loss] => 0.15242
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1487
            [entry_price] => 0.1511
            [stop_loss] => 0.15254
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1487
            [entry_price] => 0.1511
            [stop_loss] => 0.15266
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1487
            [entry_price] => 0.1511
            [stop_loss] => 0.1529
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00068000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.005
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 0.15610000
            [low] => 0.15042000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 3.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T17:49:42-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T19:49:42-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00068000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.01454
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 0.16564000
            [low] => 0.15042000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 9.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T17:49:42-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T00:49:42-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15121000
            [high_after] => 0.16316000
            [low_before] => 0.14440000
            [low_after] => 0.15042000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)