Short Trade on AAPL 16 Oct 2025 at 18:14:32
Take profit at 247.262 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 247.724 (0.062 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 16 Oct 2025 at 18:14:32
Take profit at 247.262 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 247.724 (0.062 %)
Position size of 12859.4719 $
Take profit at 247.262 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 247.724 (0.062 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.286518 15m : -0.155871 1H : 0.039746 |
2 |
Indicators:
108649
-0.00471045
108138
0.286518
109828
-0.0153914
108138
-0.155871
111847
-0.0331655
108138
0.039746
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 12:00:00
[1] => 249.66
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 22:00:00
[1] => 248.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
[1] => 245.07
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 15:00:00
[1] => 248.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 01:00:00
[1] => 249.19
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
[1] => 251.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 13:00:00
[1] => 247.63
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 20:00:00
[1] => 248.71
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:00:00
[1] => 250.69
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
[1] => 245.23
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2445650005984
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.95420625535212
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2264812624883
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 04:15:00
[1] => 250.53
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 250.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
[1] => 250.69
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 07:30:00
[1] => 249.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:45:00
[1] => 250.66
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 09:30:00
[1] => 246.96
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 11:15:00
[1] => 248.89
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:30:00
[1] => 245.23
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:45:00
[1] => 247.74
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 247.57
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1415743062859
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.068667447590587
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:50:00
[1] => 247.74
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 247.58
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:40:00
[1] => 247.11
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:10:00
[1] => 247.45
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:25:00
[1] => 247.22
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:35:00
[1] => 247.22
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:45:00
[1] => 247.22
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:55:00
[1] => 247.22
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:05:00
[1] => 247.22
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:10:00
[1] => 247.57
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1415743062859
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1415743062859
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 15:50:00 | 247.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 247.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:40:00 | 247.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:10:00 | 247.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 17:25:00 | 247.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:35:00 | 247.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:45:00 | 247.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:55:00 | 247.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:05:00 | 247.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:10:00 | 247.57 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 04:15:00 | 250.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 250.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:15:00 | 250.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 07:30:00 | 249.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:45:00 | 250.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 09:30:00 | 246.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 11:15:00 | 248.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 14:30:00 | 245.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 15:45:00 | 247.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 247.57 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 12:00:00 | 249.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-13 22:00:00 | 248.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 06:00:00 | 245.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 15:00:00 | 248.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 01:00:00 | 249.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 10:00:00 | 251.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 13:00:00 | 247.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 20:00:00 | 248.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:00:00 | 250.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 14:00:00 | 245.23 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 18:14:32 |
16 Oct 2025 18:45:00 |
30 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247.57 | 247.724 | 247.262 | 2 | 272.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 247.724 - 247.57 = 0.154
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 247.57 - 247.262 = 0.30799999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.30799999999999 / 0.154 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12859.4719 | 100 | 51.9428 | 128.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.154 = 51.95
Taille de position USD = 51.95 x 247.57 = 12861.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 51.95 avec un stoploss a 247.724
Avec un position size USD de 12861.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 51.95 x 0.154 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 51.95 x 0.30799999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.062 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0283 % | 45.5 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.262
[stop_loss] => 247.724
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.185
[stop_loss] => 247.724
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.108
[stop_loss] => 247.724
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.031
[stop_loss] => 247.724
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.56999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.069999999999993
[rr_ratio] => 8.14
[high] => 247.64000000
[low] => 247.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.23
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.14
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T18:14:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-16T20:14:32-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.069999999999993
[rr_ratio] => 11.43
[high] => 247.64000000
[low] => 246.77000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.32
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.43
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T18:14:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T01:14:32-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 247.74000000
[high_after] => 247.64000000
[low_before] => 245.23000000
[low_after] => 246.99000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)