Short Trade on ARIA 16 Oct 2025 at 18:38:35

Take profit at 0.1501 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1537 (0.79 %)

Short Trade on ARIA

The 16 Oct 2025 at 18:38:35

With 6767.4169 ARIA at 0.1525$ per unit.

Position size of 1032.0988 $

Take profit at 0.1501 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1537 (0.79 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.09
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.421217

15m : 0.018048

1H : -0.061054

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.0007880899601
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.150697
  4. ema21 : 0.152539
  5. ema50 : 0.153299
  6. ema100 : 0.151591
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0120299
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0120773
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0049599
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00606091
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.257157
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.237078
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.089448
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0137093
  17. rsi : 0.490617
  18. adx : 0.182403
  19. kc_percentage : 0.505592
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.1136
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.424351
  22. volume_ema1 : 140241.75913158
  23. volume_ema2 : 243623.89130256
  24. chop : 64.2778
  25. regime : range_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.150271
  29. ema21 : 0.149706
  30. ema50 : 0.150767
  31. ema100 : 0.152941
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0148989
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00377099
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0070339
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00282022
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.111438
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0370423
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0321398
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0469329
  42. rsi : 0.563234
  43. adx : 0.162698
  44. kc_percentage : 0.979384
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0382943
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.814522
  47. volume_ema1 : 10973.317511325
  48. volume_ema2 : 59162.585520727
  49. chop : 74.7453
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.151283
  54. ema21 : 0.150572
  55. ema50 : 0.149714
  56. ema100 : 0.149463
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00810813
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00471958
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00572955
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0203846
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0963546
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0840928
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0519939
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0263937
  67. rsi : 0.687545
  68. adx : 0.314882
  69. kc_percentage : 1.11065
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0202635
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.605628
  72. volume_ema1 : 4085.6318169511
  73. volume_ema2 : 10359.84309657
  74. chop : 51.3805
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    108507
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00494697
  81. 5m_price:
    107970
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.421217
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    109732
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0171567
  86. 15m_price:
    107849
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.018048
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    111844
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0346327
  91. 1H_price:
    107970
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.061054
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.16449
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1635
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.17265
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1549
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.16793
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.147
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15852
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1444
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15252
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19669551534225
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.415512465374
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6232686980609
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 0.15845
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:15:00
                        [1] => 0.15852
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.14896
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15442
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14538
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.14975
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1444
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15066
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.14768
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:30:00
                        [1] => 0.15252
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19669551534225
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0742145178765
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2773564463705
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 11:10:00
                        [1] => 0.15442
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14538
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.14975
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1444
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 14:45:00
                        [1] => 0.14956
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 15:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1497
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15066
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.14768
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:05:00
                        [1] => 0.15166
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:35:00
                        [1] => 0.15252
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19669551534225
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0742145178765
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56705789265462
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.57%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0007
0.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0057
3.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 11:10:00 0.15442 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.14538 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:30:00 0.14975 ↑ High
2025-10-16 14:10:00 0.1444 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 14:45:00 0.14956 ↑ High
2025-10-16 15:20:00 0.1497 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 0.15066 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:45:00 0.14768 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 18:05:00 0.15166 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:35:00 0.15252 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.28%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0048
3.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0057
3.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 05:45:00 0.15845 ↑ High
2025-10-16 08:15:00 0.15852 ↑ High
2025-10-16 09:45:00 0.14896 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 11:00:00 0.15442 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.14538 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:30:00 0.14975 ↑ High
2025-10-16 14:00:00 0.1444 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 16:00:00 0.15066 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:45:00 0.14768 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 18:30:00 0.15252 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0190
12.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0057
3.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 16:00:00 0.14543 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 22:00:00 0.16449 ↑ High
2025-10-15 04:00:00 0.1635 ↑ High
2025-10-15 10:00:00 0.17265 ↑ High
2025-10-15 15:00:00 0.1549 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 19:00:00 0.16793 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 0.147 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 0.15852 ↑ High
2025-10-16 14:00:00 0.1444 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 18:00:00 0.15252 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
18:38:35
16 Oct 2025
18:55:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1525 0.1537 0.1501 2 0.0796
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1525
  • Stop Loss: 0.1537
  • Take Profit: 0.1501

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1537 - 0.1525 = 0.0012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1525 - 0.1501 = 0.0024

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0024 / 0.0012 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1032.0988 100 6767.4169 10.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0012 = 6666.67

Taille de position USD = 6666.67 x 0.1525 = 1016.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 6666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1537

Avec un position size USD de 1016.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6666.67 x 0.0012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6666.67 x 0.0024 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6666.67
  • Taille de position USD 1016.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.57 % 16.24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.79 % 8.12 $
PNL PNL %
-8.12 $ -0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3311 % 169.16 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1501
            [entry_price] => 0.1525
            [stop_loss] => 0.15382
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1501
            [entry_price] => 0.1525
            [stop_loss] => 0.15394
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1501
            [entry_price] => 0.1525
            [stop_loss] => 0.15406
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1501
            [entry_price] => 0.1525
            [stop_loss] => 0.1543
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0005
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0065
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 0.15900000
            [low] => 0.15200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.33
            [mae_pct] => 4.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T18:38:35-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T20:38:35-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00069
            [max_drawdown] => 0.01314
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 0.16564000
            [low] => 0.15181000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 8.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T18:38:35-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T01:38:35-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15252000
            [high_after] => 0.16564000
            [low_before] => 0.14659000
            [low_after] => 0.15181000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)