Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Oct 2025 at 20:19:58
Take profit at 5.9297 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 5.9946 (0.36 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Oct 2025 at 20:19:58
Take profit at 5.9297 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 5.9946 (0.36 %)
Position size of 2209.1018 $
Take profit at 5.9297 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 5.9946 (0.36 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.782555 15m : -0.005777 1H : 0.030471 |
2 |
Indicators:
108098
0.00149438
108259
0.782555
109529
-0.0115879
108259
-0.005777
111770
-0.0314131
108259
0.030471
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 17:00:00
[1] => 6.629
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 02:00:00
[1] => 6.016
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
[1] => 6.373
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
[1] => 6.218
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 6.39
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 5.967
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
[1] => 6.117
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 5.889
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
[1] => 6.143
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 5.862
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7673775028488
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8935516888434
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7935858068918
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
[1] => 5.889
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
[1] => 6.127
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 07:30:00
[1] => 6.063
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
[1] => 6.143
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
[1] => 5.88
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:45:00
[1] => 6.075
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 5.862
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 5.963
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 5.881
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:15:00
[1] => 5.973
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5643598027546
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5643598027546
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
[1] => 5.88
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:55:00
[1] => 6.075
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:30:00
[1] => 5.949
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:40:00
[1] => 6.004
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:35:00
[1] => 5.889
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:05:00
[1] => 5.989
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 5.862
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 5.963
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 5.881
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:15:00
[1] => 5.973
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5643598027546
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5643598027546
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 12:00:00 | 5.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 12:55:00 | 6.075 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 14:30:00 | 5.949 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 14:40:00 | 6.004 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 15:35:00 | 5.889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:05:00 | 5.989 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 5.862 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 5.963 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 5.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 20:15:00 | 5.973 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 05:30:00 | 5.889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:15:00 | 6.127 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 07:30:00 | 6.063 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 6.143 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 12:00:00 | 5.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 12:45:00 | 6.075 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 5.862 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 5.963 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 5.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 20:15:00 | 5.973 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 17:00:00 | 6.629 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 02:00:00 | 6.016 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 12:00:00 | 6.373 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 6.218 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 6.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 5.967 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 22:00:00 | 6.117 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 5.889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 6.143 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 5.862 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 20:19:58 |
16 Oct 2025 21:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.973 | 5.9946 | 5.9297 | 2 | 3.452 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.9946 - 5.973 = 0.0216
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.973 - 5.9297 = 0.043299999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.043299999999999 / 0.0216 = 2.0046
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2209.1018 | 100 | 369.8479 | 22.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0216 = 370.37
Taille de position USD = 370.37 x 5.973 = 2212.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 370.37 avec un stoploss a 5.9946
Avec un position size USD de 2212.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 370.37 x 0.0216 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 370.37 x 0.043299999999999 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3014 % | 83.35 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.9298
[stop_loss] => 5.9946
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 21:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.919
[stop_loss] => 5.9946
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 21:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.9082
[stop_loss] => 5.9946
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.8974
[stop_loss] => 5.9946
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.059
[max_drawdown] => 0.018
[rr_ratio] => 3.28
[high] => 5.99100000
[low] => 5.91400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.99
[mae_pct] => 0.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.28
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T20:19:58-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-16T22:19:58-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.257
[max_drawdown] => 0.018
[rr_ratio] => 14.28
[high] => 5.99100000
[low] => 5.71600000
[mfe_pct] => 4.3
[mae_pct] => 0.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.28
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T20:19:58-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T03:19:58-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.97300000
[high_after] => 5.99100000
[low_before] => 5.86200000
[low_after] => 5.89200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)