Short Trade on ETH 16 Oct 2025 at 20:23:36
Take profit at 3878.9524 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 3922.3288 (0.37 %)
Short Trade on ETH 16 Oct 2025 at 20:23:36
Take profit at 3878.9524 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 3922.3288 (0.37 %)
Position size of 2162.2129 $
Take profit at 3878.9524 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 3922.3288 (0.37 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.900833 15m : -0.057126 1H : 0.039895 |
2 |
Indicators:
108150
0.00212637
108380
0.900833
109528
-0.0118171
108234
-0.057126
111773
-0.0303592
108380
0.039895
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 17:00:00
[1] => 4289.22
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
[1] => 3887.08
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
[1] => 4162.25
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 22:00:00
[1] => 4144.31
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
[1] => 4056.54
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 4215.45
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 17:00:00
[1] => 3925
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 3937.82
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
[1] => 4084.2
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 3824
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3876401743303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1182008368201
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.8043933054393
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 02:45:00
[1] => 4048.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
[1] => 3937.82
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
[1] => 4077.27
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 07:30:00
[1] => 4030.77
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
[1] => 4084.2
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 09:30:00
[1] => 4066.64
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:30:00
[1] => 3854.11
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 3824
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 3859.08
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:15:00
[1] => 3908.34
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.085458276403797
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1899209137929
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2764700394913
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:45:00
[1] => 3917.71
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:35:00
[1] => 3849
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:50:00
[1] => 3889.69
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 3824
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 3887.44
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:15:00
[1] => 3861.43
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:35:00
[1] => 3878.54
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 3859.08
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
[1] => 3896.67
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:20:00
[1] => 3908.34
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.085458276403797
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1899209137929
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.29948648461379
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 14:45:00 | 3917.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 15:35:00 | 3849 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 15:50:00 | 3889.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 3824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 3887.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:15:00 | 3861.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:35:00 | 3878.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 3859.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 19:20:00 | 3896.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 20:20:00 | 3908.34 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 02:45:00 | 4048.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:30:00 | 3937.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:15:00 | 4077.27 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 07:30:00 | 4030.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 4084.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 09:30:00 | 4066.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 12:30:00 | 3854.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 3824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 3859.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 20:15:00 | 3908.34 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 17:00:00 | 4289.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 06:00:00 | 3887.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 12:00:00 | 4162.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 22:00:00 | 4144.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 4056.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 4215.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 17:00:00 | 3925 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 3937.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 4084.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 3824 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 20:23:36 |
16 Oct 2025 20:40:00 |
16 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3907.87 | 3922.3288 | 3878.9524 | 2 | 2025.44 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3922.3288 - 3907.87 = 14.4588
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3907.87 - 3878.9524 = 28.9176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.9176 / 14.4588 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2162.2129 | 100 | 0.5533 | 21.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 14.4588 = 0.55
Taille de position USD = 0.55 x 3907.87 = 2149.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.55 avec un stoploss a 3922.3288
Avec un position size USD de 2149.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.55 x 14.4588 = 7.95
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.55 x 28.9176 = 15.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.434 % | 117.3 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3878.9524
[entry_price] => 3907.87
[stop_loss] => 3923.77468
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3878.9524
[entry_price] => 3907.87
[stop_loss] => 3925.22056
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 20:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3878.9524
[entry_price] => 3907.87
[stop_loss] => 3926.66644
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3878.9524
[entry_price] => 3907.87
[stop_loss] => 3929.5582
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.5099999999998
[max_drawdown] => 40.95
[rr_ratio] => 0.11
[high] => 3948.82000000
[low] => 3903.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.12
[mae_pct] => 1.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T20:23:36-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-16T22:23:36-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 141.27
[max_drawdown] => 40.95
[rr_ratio] => 3.45
[high] => 3948.82000000
[low] => 3766.60000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.62
[mae_pct] => 1.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.45
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T20:23:36-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T03:23:36-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3908.34000000
[high_after] => 3948.82000000
[low_before] => 3824.00000000
[low_after] => 3872.42000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)