Short Trade on OG 16 Oct 2025 at 21:04:16
Take profit at 17.6857 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 17.9173 (0.43 %)
Short Trade on OG 16 Oct 2025 at 21:04:16
Take profit at 17.6857 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 17.9173 (0.43 %)
Position size of 1849.0329 $
Take profit at 17.6857 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 17.9173 (0.43 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.86 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.395969 15m : 0.01508 1H : -0.07591 |
1 |
Indicators:
108184
0.00540105
108768
0.395969
109464
-0.00636324
108768
0.01508
111764
-0.0268094
108768
-0.07591
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 04:00:00
[1] => 18.325
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 10:00:00
[1] => 18.2066
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 13:00:00
[1] => 17.6481
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 20:00:00
[1] => 17.8126
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 00:00:00
[1] => 18.4198
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 06:00:00
[1] => 17.6439
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 19.1868
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 07:00:00
[1] => 17.4598
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:00:00
[1] => 17.3123
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 17.8782
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2687742241066
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2687742241066
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 00:30:00
[1] => 18.8479
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 02:30:00
[1] => 18.5155
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:45:00
[1] => 18.7649
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 07:45:00
[1] => 17.4598
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 11:00:00
[1] => 18.2196
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:15:00
[1] => 17.6085
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:45:00
[1] => 17.3123
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 17.8326
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
[1] => 17.5149
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 17.8782
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0742339379614
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0742339379614
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 14:50:00
[1] => 17.3123
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:00:00
[1] => 17.7513
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 15:45:00
[1] => 17.5489
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 17.8326
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:25:00
[1] => 17.6157
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:15:00
[1] => 17.8117
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:55:00
[1] => 17.5149
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:45:00
[1] => 17.6884
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:20:00
[1] => 17.5751
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 17.8782
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.724599006549
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.724599006549
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 14:50:00 | 17.3123 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 15:00:00 | 17.7513 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 15:45:00 | 17.5489 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 17.8326 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:25:00 | 17.6157 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:15:00 | 17.8117 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:55:00 | 17.5149 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 19:45:00 | 17.6884 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 20:20:00 | 17.5751 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 17.8782 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 00:30:00 | 18.8479 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 02:30:00 | 18.5155 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 05:45:00 | 18.7649 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 07:45:00 | 17.4598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 11:00:00 | 18.2196 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 12:15:00 | 17.6085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 14:45:00 | 17.3123 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 17.8326 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:45:00 | 17.5149 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 17.8782 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 04:00:00 | 18.325 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 10:00:00 | 18.2066 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 13:00:00 | 17.6481 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 20:00:00 | 17.8126 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 00:00:00 | 18.4198 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 06:00:00 | 17.6439 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 19.1868 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 07:00:00 | 17.4598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 14:00:00 | 17.3123 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 17.8782 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 21:04:16 |
16 Oct 2025 21:10:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.8401 | 17.9173 | 17.6857 | 2 | 3.021 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 17.9173 - 17.8401 = 0.077200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 17.8401 - 17.6857 = 0.1544
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1544 / 0.077200000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1849.0329 | 100 | 103.6448 | 18.49 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.077200000000001 = 103.63
Taille de position USD = 103.63 x 17.8401 = 1848.77
Donc, tu peux acheter 103.63 avec un stoploss a 17.9173
Avec un position size USD de 1848.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 103.63 x 0.077200000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 103.63 x 0.1544 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4624 % | 106.86 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.6857
[entry_price] => 17.8401
[stop_loss] => 17.92502
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.6857
[entry_price] => 17.8401
[stop_loss] => 17.93274
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.6857
[entry_price] => 17.8401
[stop_loss] => 17.94046
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.6857
[entry_price] => 17.8401
[stop_loss] => 17.9559
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.082699999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.084600000000002
[rr_ratio] => 0.98
[high] => 17.92470000
[low] => 17.75740000
[mfe_pct] => 0.46
[mae_pct] => 0.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.98
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T21:04:16-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-16T23:04:16-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.2145
[max_drawdown] => 0.3713
[rr_ratio] => 3.27
[high] => 18.21140000
[low] => 16.62560000
[mfe_pct] => 6.81
[mae_pct] => 2.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.27
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T21:04:16-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T04:04:16-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 17.87820000
[high_after] => 18.21140000
[low_before] => 17.51490000
[low_after] => 16.62560000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)