Short Trade on MORPHO 16 Oct 2025 at 21:05:02
Take profit at 1.7705 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8062 (0.66 %)
Short Trade on MORPHO 16 Oct 2025 at 21:05:02
Take profit at 1.7705 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8062 (0.66 %)
Position size of 1206.5442 $
Take profit at 1.7705 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8062 (0.66 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.98 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.791837 15m : -0.071123 1H : -0.004104 |
1 |
Indicators:
108185
0.00618559
108855
0.791837
109467
-0.00527427
108890
-0.071123
111767
-0.0257424
108890
-0.004104
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 14:15:00 | 1.7834 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 14:40:00 | 1.8231 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 15:45:00 | 1.7568 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:35:00 | 1.7399 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 1.7742 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 1.7409 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 19:50:00 | 1.7619 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 20:20:00 | 1.7882 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 20:45:00 | 1.7697 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:05:00 | 1.8047 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 01:45:00 | 1.9425 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 04:00:00 | 1.9117 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 05:30:00 | 1.8856 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:00:00 | 1.9722 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 1.9952 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 12:30:00 | 1.7717 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 1.7399 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 1.7742 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 1.7409 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 1.8047 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 06:00:00 | 1.7428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 22:00:00 | 1.9999 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 00:00:00 | 1.9217 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 10:00:00 | 2.0749 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 1.8507 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 00:00:00 | 1.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 1.8856 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 1.9952 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 1.7399 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 1.8047 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 21:05:02 |
16 Oct 2025 21:20:00 |
14 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7943 | 1.8062 | 1.7705 | 2 | 1.8746 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8062 - 1.7943 = 0.0119
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7943 - 1.7705 = 0.0238
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0238 / 0.0119 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1206.5442 | 100 | 672.4317 | 12.07 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0119 = 672.27
Taille de position USD = 672.27 x 1.7943 = 1206.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 672.27 avec un stoploss a 1.8062
Avec un position size USD de 1206.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 672.27 x 0.0119 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 672.27 x 0.0238 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.457 % | 68.91 % | 2 |
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