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Short Trade on UMA

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Short Trade on UMA 16 Oct 2025 at 21:17:40

Take profit at 1.0295 (1.28 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0496 (0.64 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 16 Oct 2025 at 21:17:40

With 1195.7358 UMA at 1.0429$ per unit.

Position size of 1247.0328 $

Take profit at 1.0295 (1.28 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0496 (0.64 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.93
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.97
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.88
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.480883

15m : 0.087034

1H : 0.080956

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.004460294256
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.04237
  4. ema21 : 1.05455
  5. ema50 : 1.07668
  6. ema100 : 1.08435
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000506501
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0115504
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.020558
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0382275
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.201196
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.148992
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.133159
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0723595
  17. rsi : 0.445524
  18. adx : 0.226425
  19. kc_percentage : 0.388044
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0919061
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.521173
  22. volume_ema1 : 129868.78399089
  23. volume_ema2 : 271222.81416446
  24. chop : 44.3116
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 1.03364
  28. ema21 : 1.03528
  29. ema50 : 1.04517
  30. ema100 : 1.05189
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00895522
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00158752
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0094576
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00855529
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00611708
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0840644
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.079698
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0505751
  41. rsi : 0.537637
  42. adx : 0.10709
  43. kc_percentage : 0.729659
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0333878
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.406343
  46. volume_ema1 : 29629.317507965
  47. volume_ema2 : 49909.852146485
  48. chop : 61.4546
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 1.03766
  52. ema21 : 1.03316
  53. ema50 : 1.03359
  54. ema100 : 1.0425
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00504313
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0043541
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00041605
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000377139
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0893615
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0634831
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0120959
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0146411
  65. rsi : 0.647186
  66. adx : 0.298339
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04552
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0167016
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.00216861
  70. volume_ema1 : 12799.699812307
  71. volume_ema2 : 12827.517696545
  72. chop : 49.4289
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    108248
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00612113
  78. 5m_price: 
    108911
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.480883
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109400
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00447462
  83. 15m_price: 
    108911
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.087034
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111767
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0255582
  88. 1H_price: 
    108911
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.080956
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-13 13:00:00
                    [1] => 1.5386
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0864
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
                    [1] => 1.2599
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
                    [1] => 1.126
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 1.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0418
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0755
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 1.021
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 1.1154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.4730141653219
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0117507652809
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.141206675225
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 03:30:00
                    [1] => 1.0508
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
                    [1] => 1.021
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
                    [1] => 1.0797
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0844
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 10:15:00
                    [1] => 1.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0271
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 1.1154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0456
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22953328232595
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0117507652809
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2487409894342
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0714
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 15:20:00
                    [1] => 1.0474
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:05:00
                    [1] => 1.0261
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:35:00
                    [1] => 1.0427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
                    [1] => 1.0279
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:50:00
                    [1] => 1.0165
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0334
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:05:00
                    [1] => 1.0456
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22953328232595
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6266601082145
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1805689955487
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.63%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0402
3.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0168
1.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 15:00:00 1.0714 ↑ High
2025-10-16 15:20:00 1.0474 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 17:05:00 1.0261 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:35:00 1.0427 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:20:00 1.0279 ↑ High
2025-10-16 19:50:00 1.0165 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 20:00:00 1.0334 ↑ High
2025-10-16 21:05:00 1.0456 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.01%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0658
6.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0168
1.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 03:30:00 1.0508 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 05:30:00 1.021 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 06:15:00 1.0797 ↑ High
2025-10-16 09:00:00 1.0844 ↑ High
2025-10-16 10:15:00 1.05 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 12:00:00 1.0271 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:15:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 1.0456 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.01%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4890
46.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0168
1.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-13 13:00:00 1.5386 ↑ High
2025-10-14 06:00:00 1.0864 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:00:00 1.2599 ↑ High
2025-10-14 23:00:00 1.126 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 1.171 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:00:00 1.0418 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 1.0755 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 1.021 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:00:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:00:00 1.0127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
21:17:40		 16 Oct 2025
22:05:00		 47 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0429 1.0496 1.0295 2 0.4537
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0429
  • Stop Loss: 1.0496
  • Take Profit: 1.0295

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0496 - 1.0429 = 0.0067000000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0429 - 1.0295 = 0.0134

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0067000000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1247.0328 100 1195.7358 12.47
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0067000000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0067000000000002 = 1194.03

Taille de position USD = 1194.03 x 1.0429 = 1245.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 1194.03 avec un stoploss a 1.0496

Avec un position size USD de 1245.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0067000000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0134 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1194.03
  • Taille de position USD 1245.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.28 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.64 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 1.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.163 % 25.37 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0295
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.02615
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0228
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.01945
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0161
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.01275
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0094
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.00605
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0027
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.99935
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.996
            [stop_loss] => 1.0496
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0169
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0082
            [rr_ratio] => 2.06
            [high] => 1.05110000
            [low] => 1.02600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.62
            [mae_pct] => 0.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T21:17:40-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T23:17:40-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.094
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0147
            [rr_ratio] => 6.39
            [high] => 1.05760000
            [low] => 0.94890000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.01
            [mae_pct] => 1.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.39
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T21:17:40-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T04:17:40-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.04560000
            [high_after] => 1.05760000
            [low_before] => 1.01270000
            [low_after] => 0.97700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)