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Short Trade on UMA

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Short Trade on UMA 16 Oct 2025 at 21:26:45

Take profit at 1.0311 (1.17 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0494 (0.58 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 16 Oct 2025 at 21:26:45

With 1310.2691 UMA at 1.0433$ per unit.

Position size of 1367.0037 $

Take profit at 1.0311 (1.17 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0494 (0.58 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.76
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.504012

15m : 0.099533

1H : -0.054048

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.004070410766
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.04245
  4. ema21 : 1.05458
  5. ema50 : 1.0767
  6. ema100 : 1.08436
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000813431
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0115086
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0205385
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0378657
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.200572
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.14871
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.13304
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0722991
  17. rsi : 0.44683
  18. adx : 0.226425
  19. kc_percentage : 0.39182
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0918709
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.509818
  22. volume_ema1 : 133136.78779089
  23. volume_ema2 : 271607.28519975
  24. chop : 44.3116
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 1.0337
  28. ema21 : 1.03531
  29. ema50 : 1.04518
  30. ema100 : 1.0519
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00928362
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00155587
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00944266
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00818063
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00563371
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0838471
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0796051
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0505283
  41. rsi : 0.5395
  42. adx : 0.10709
  43. kc_percentage : 0.740326
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.033375
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.403995
  46. volume_ema1 : 29755.330127965
  47. volume_ema2 : 49924.677160602
  48. chop : 61.4546
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 1.03984
  52. ema21 : 1.035
  53. ema50 : 1.03481
  54. ema100 : 1.04578
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00332239
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00467281
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000188357
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00237654
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0929977
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0699181
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0167687
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0170758
  65. rsi : 0.644205
  66. adx : 0.320811
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02258
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0147116
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.420899
  70. volume_ema1 : 7907.1369899143
  71. volume_ema2 : 13654.17144334
  72. chop : 48.3299
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    108265
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0046257
  78. 5m_price: 
    108766
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.504012
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109398
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00522462
  83. 15m_price: 
    108827
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.099533
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111764
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.026827
  88. 1H_price: 
    108766
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.054048
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-13 13:00:00
                    [1] => 1.5386
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0864
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
                    [1] => 1.2599
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
                    [1] => 1.126
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 1.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0418
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0755
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 1.021
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 1.1154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.3923256230948
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1006220993384
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.141206675225
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 03:30:00
                    [1] => 1.0508
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
                    [1] => 1.021
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
                    [1] => 1.0797
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0844
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 10:15:00
                    [1] => 1.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0271
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 1.1154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0456
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14345830145372
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1006220993384
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2487409894342
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0714
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 15:20:00
                    [1] => 1.0474
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:05:00
                    [1] => 1.0261
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:35:00
                    [1] => 1.0427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
                    [1] => 1.0279
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:50:00
                    [1] => 1.0165
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0334
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:05:00
                    [1] => 1.0456
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14345830145372
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7151992129857
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1805689955487
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.72%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0404
3.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0184
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 15:00:00 1.0714 ↑ High
2025-10-16 15:20:00 1.0474 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 17:05:00 1.0261 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:35:00 1.0427 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:20:00 1.0279 ↑ High
2025-10-16 19:50:00 1.0165 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 20:00:00 1.0334 ↑ High
2025-10-16 21:05:00 1.0456 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.10%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0660
6.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0184
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 03:30:00 1.0508 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 05:30:00 1.021 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 06:15:00 1.0797 ↑ High
2025-10-16 09:00:00 1.0844 ↑ High
2025-10-16 10:15:00 1.05 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 12:00:00 1.0271 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:15:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 1.0456 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.10%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4892
46.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0184
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-13 13:00:00 1.5386 ↑ High
2025-10-14 06:00:00 1.0864 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:00:00 1.2599 ↑ High
2025-10-14 23:00:00 1.126 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 1.171 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:00:00 1.0418 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 1.0755 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 1.021 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:00:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:00:00 1.0127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
21:26:45		 16 Oct 2025
21:55:00		 28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0433 1.0494 1.0311 2 0.4545
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0433
  • Stop Loss: 1.0494
  • Take Profit: 1.0311

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0494 - 1.0433 = 0.0061000000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0433 - 1.0311 = 0.0122

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0122 / 0.0061000000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1367.0037 100 1310.2691 13.67
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0061000000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0061000000000002 = 1311.48

Taille de position USD = 1311.48 x 1.0433 = 1368.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 1311.48 avec un stoploss a 1.0494

Avec un position size USD de 1368.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1311.48 x 0.0061000000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1311.48 x 0.0122 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1311.48
  • Taille de position USD 1368.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.17 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.58 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 1.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0767 % 13.12 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0311
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.02805
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.025
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.02195
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0189
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.01585
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0128
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.00975
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0067
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.00365
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0006
            [stop_loss] => 1.0494
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-16 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0173
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0096000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.8
            [high] => 1.05290000
            [low] => 1.02600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T21:26:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-16T23:26:45-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0944
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0143
            [rr_ratio] => 6.6
            [high] => 1.05760000
            [low] => 0.94890000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.05
            [mae_pct] => 1.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T21:26:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T04:26:45-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.04560000
            [high_after] => 1.05760000
            [low_before] => 1.01270000
            [low_after] => 0.96770000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)