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Short Trade on UMA

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Short Trade on UMA 16 Oct 2025 at 22:39:33

Take profit at 1.0316 (1.43 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0541 (0.72 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 16 Oct 2025 at 22:39:33

With 1069.3988 UMA at 1.0466$ per unit.

Position size of 1119.2328 $

Take profit at 1.0316 (1.43 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0541 (0.72 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 6.13
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.539967

15m : 0.092019

1H : 0.105993

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.004987225651
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.04203
  4. ema21 : 1.05321
  5. ema50 : 1.07506
  6. ema100 : 1.08221
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00438217
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0106186
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0203176
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0329102
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.190936
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.149603
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.133381
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.071572
  17. rsi : 0.46033
  18. adx : 0.219649
  19. kc_percentage : 0.440724
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.092253
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.500388
  22. volume_ema1 : 133548.44247615
  23. volume_ema2 : 267304.72972602
  24. chop : 44.9279
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 1.03396
  28. ema21 : 1.03483
  29. ema50 : 1.04335
  30. ema100 : 1.05163
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0122151
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000831795
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0081677
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00479249
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0741838
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00931035
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0458023
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0380386
  41. rsi : 0.523063
  42. adx : 0.0920041
  43. kc_percentage : 0.82968
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0348363
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.293724
  46. volume_ema1 : 33592.184419074
  47. volume_ema2 : 47562.422938829
  48. chop : 61.4457
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 1.03553
  52. ema21 : 1.03456
  53. ema50 : 1.03389
  54. ema100 : 1.03727
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0106895
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000929118
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000655931
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00899433
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0257422
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00616533
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.000153559
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00745044
  65. rsi : 0.638201
  66. adx : 0.233842
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07006
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.020042
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.633851
  70. volume_ema1 : 18618.7564825
  71. volume_ema2 : 11395.624410948
  72. chop : 39.2595
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    108270
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00271712
  78. 5m_price: 
    108564
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.539967
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109437
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00850239
  83. 15m_price: 
    108507
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.092019
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111666
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.027778
  88. 1H_price: 
    108564
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.105993
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0864
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
                    [1] => 1.2599
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
                    [1] => 1.126
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 1.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0418
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0755
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 1.021
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 1.1154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0484
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5252295842797
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5252295842797
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
                    [1] => 1.0797
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0844
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 10:15:00
                    [1] => 1.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0271
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 1.1154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0456
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                    [1] => 1.026
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:30:00
                    [1] => 1.0484
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1832358674464
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1832358674464
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:05:00
                    [1] => 1.0261
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 17:35:00
                    [1] => 1.0427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 1.0127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
                    [1] => 1.0279
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:50:00
                    [1] => 1.0165
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 1.0334
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:05:00
                    [1] => 1.0456
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
                    [1] => 1.026
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:35:00
                    [1] => 1.0484
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1832358674464
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1832358674464
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0357
3.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0189
1.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 17:05:00 1.0261 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:35:00 1.0427 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:20:00 1.0279 ↑ High
2025-10-16 19:50:00 1.0165 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 20:00:00 1.0334 ↑ High
2025-10-16 21:05:00 1.0456 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:25:00 1.026 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:35:00 1.0484 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0613
5.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0189
1.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 06:15:00 1.0797 ↑ High
2025-10-16 09:00:00 1.0844 ↑ High
2025-10-16 10:15:00 1.05 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 12:00:00 1.0271 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:15:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 1.0456 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:15:00 1.026 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:30:00 1.0484 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.53%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.53%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2058
19.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0189
1.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 06:00:00 1.0864 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:00:00 1.2599 ↑ High
2025-10-14 23:00:00 1.126 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 1.171 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:00:00 1.0418 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 1.0755 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 1.021 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:00:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:00:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:00:00 1.0484 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
22:39:33		 16 Oct 2025
23:30:00		 50 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0466 1.0541 1.0316 2 0.4545
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0466
  • Stop Loss: 1.0541
  • Take Profit: 1.0316

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0541 - 1.0466 = 0.0075000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0466 - 1.0316 = 0.015

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.015 / 0.0075000000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1119.2328 100 1069.3988 11.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0075000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0075000000000001 = 1066.67

Taille de position USD = 1066.67 x 1.0466 = 1116.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 1066.67 avec un stoploss a 1.0541

Avec un position size USD de 1116.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1066.67 x 0.0075000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1066.67 x 0.015 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1066.67
  • Taille de position USD 1116.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.43 % 16.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.72 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -0.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7357 % 102.67 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0316
            [entry_price] => 1.0466
            [stop_loss] => 1.05485
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0316
            [entry_price] => 1.0466
            [stop_loss] => 1.0556
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0316
            [entry_price] => 1.0466
            [stop_loss] => 1.05635
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0316
            [entry_price] => 1.0466
            [stop_loss] => 1.05785
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0047999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.011
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [high] => 1.05760000
            [low] => 1.04180000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T22:39:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T00:39:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0977
            [max_drawdown] => 0.011
            [rr_ratio] => 8.88
            [high] => 1.05760000
            [low] => 0.94890000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.33
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T22:39:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T05:39:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.04840000
            [high_after] => 1.05760000
            [low_before] => 1.01270000
            [low_after] => 0.94890000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)