Short Trade on UMA 16 Oct 2025 at 23:02:53

Take profit at 1.0363 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0585 (0.7 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 16 Oct 2025 at 23:02:53

With 1082.5414 UMA at 1.0511$ per unit.

Position size of 1137.8593 $

Take profit at 1.0363 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0585 (0.7 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 6.69
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.523106

15m : 0.057617

1H : 0.027071

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.004926678421
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.04419
  4. ema21 : 1.0532
  5. ema50 : 1.07415
  6. ema100 : 1.08125
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00660898
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00855255
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0194979
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0278844
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.146121
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.132881
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.126642
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0686781
  17. rsi : 0.475421
  18. adx : 0.208331
  19. kc_percentage : 0.485509
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0850964
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.612902
  22. volume_ema1 : 100094.38382188
  23. volume_ema2 : 258576.65755786
  24. chop : 45.3869
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 1.04107
  29. ema21 : 1.03823
  30. ema50 : 1.04427
  31. ema100 : 1.05209
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00963012
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00273893
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00578712
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.000947784
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.125751
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0311099
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0252851
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0284818
  42. rsi : 0.580078
  43. adx : 0.113703
  44. kc_percentage : 0.853258
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0348121
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.418625
  47. volume_ema1 : 26116.943979588
  48. volume_ema2 : 44922.725003587
  49. chop : 53.9404
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 1.04391
  54. ema21 : 1.03961
  55. ema50 : 1.03657
  56. ema100 : 1.03943
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0068845
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00413774
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00292519
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0112188
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.063162
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0359458
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0182888
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000623564
  67. rsi : 0.632463
  68. adx : 0.245559
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05664
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0192253
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.149471
  72. volume_ema1 : 9263.7568161042
  73. volume_ema2 : 10891.763346173
  74. chop : 35.4719
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    108386
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00494152
  81. 5m_price:
    108922
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.523106
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    109431
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0046574
  86. 15m_price:
    108922
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.057617
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    111659
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0245203
  91. 1H_price:
    108922
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.027071
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0864
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
                        [1] => 1.2599
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
                        [1] => 1.126
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 1.171
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0418
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0755
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 1.021
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 1.1154
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0127
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0511
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22833222338502
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5548533622988
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7918435864521
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 1.0797
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0844
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 10:15:00
                        [1] => 1.05
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0271
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 1.1154
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0898
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 1.0127
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0456
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                        [1] => 1.026
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0511
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22833222338502
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2124756335283
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4463937621832
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0898
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 17:05:00
                        [1] => 1.0261
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 17:35:00
                        [1] => 1.0427
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 1.0127
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
                        [1] => 1.0279
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 19:50:00
                        [1] => 1.0165
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0334
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 21:05:00
                        [1] => 1.0456
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
                        [1] => 1.026
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 1.0511
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22833222338502
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2124756335283
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4463937621832
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.21%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0313
2.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0236
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 17:05:00 1.0261 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 17:35:00 1.0427 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:20:00 1.0279 ↑ High
2025-10-16 19:50:00 1.0165 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 20:00:00 1.0334 ↑ High
2025-10-16 21:05:00 1.0456 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:25:00 1.026 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:00:00 1.0511 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.21%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0569
5.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0236
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 06:15:00 1.0797 ↑ High
2025-10-16 09:00:00 1.0844 ↑ High
2025-10-16 10:15:00 1.05 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 12:00:00 1.0271 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:15:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 1.0898 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:45:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 1.0456 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:15:00 1.026 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:00:00 1.0511 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2014
19.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0236
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 06:00:00 1.0864 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 12:00:00 1.2599 ↑ High
2025-10-14 23:00:00 1.126 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 1.171 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:00:00 1.0418 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 1.0755 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 1.021 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:00:00 1.1154 ↑ High
2025-10-16 18:00:00 1.0127 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:00:00 1.0511 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
23:02:53
17 Oct 2025
02:25:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0511 1.0585 1.0363 2 0.4545
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0511
  • Stop Loss: 1.0585
  • Take Profit: 1.0363

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0585 - 1.0511 = 0.0074000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0511 - 1.0363 = 0.0148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0074000000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1137.8593 100 1082.5414 11.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0074000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074000000000001 = 1081.08

Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 1.0511 = 1136.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 1.0585

Avec un position size USD de 1136.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0148 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1081.08
  • Taille de position USD 1136.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.41 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.7 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6184 % 87.84 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0363
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0326
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0289
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0252
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0215
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0178
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0141
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0104
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0067
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.003
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.9993
            [stop_loss] => 1.0585
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0055999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0065000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 0.86
            [high] => 1.05760000
            [low] => 1.04550000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.53
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T23:02:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T01:02:53-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.1022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0065000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 15.72
            [high] => 1.05760000
            [low] => 0.94890000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.72
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.72
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T23:02:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T06:02:53-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.05110000
            [high_after] => 1.05760000
            [low_before] => 1.01650000
            [low_after] => 0.94890000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)