Short Trade on UMA 16 Oct 2025 at 23:02:53
Take profit at 1.0363 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0585 (0.7 %)
Short Trade on UMA 16 Oct 2025 at 23:02:53
Take profit at 1.0363 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0585 (0.7 %)
Position size of 1137.8593 $
Take profit at 1.0363 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0585 (0.7 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.9 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.523106 15m : 0.057617 1H : 0.027071 |
1 |
Indicators:
108386
0.00494152
108922
0.523106
109431
-0.0046574
108922
0.057617
111659
-0.0245203
108922
0.027071
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
[1] => 1.0864
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
[1] => 1.2599
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
[1] => 1.126
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 1.171
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 1.0418
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
[1] => 1.0755
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 1.021
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 13:00:00
[1] => 1.1154
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 1.0127
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
[1] => 1.0511
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22833222338502
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5548533622988
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7918435864521
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
[1] => 1.0797
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 09:00:00
[1] => 1.0844
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 10:15:00
[1] => 1.05
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
[1] => 1.0271
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 13:15:00
[1] => 1.1154
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 1.0898
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
[1] => 1.0127
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 1.0456
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
[1] => 1.026
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
[1] => 1.0511
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22833222338502
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2124756335283
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4463937621832
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 1.0898
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:05:00
[1] => 1.0261
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:35:00
[1] => 1.0427
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:45:00
[1] => 1.0127
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
[1] => 1.0279
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:50:00
[1] => 1.0165
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
[1] => 1.0334
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:05:00
[1] => 1.0456
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
[1] => 1.026
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
[1] => 1.0511
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22833222338502
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2124756335283
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4463937621832
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 1.0898 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 17:05:00 | 1.0261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:35:00 | 1.0427 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:45:00 | 1.0127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 19:20:00 | 1.0279 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:50:00 | 1.0165 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 20:00:00 | 1.0334 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 21:05:00 | 1.0456 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:25:00 | 1.026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 23:00:00 | 1.0511 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 06:15:00 | 1.0797 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 09:00:00 | 1.0844 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 10:15:00 | 1.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 12:00:00 | 1.0271 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 13:15:00 | 1.1154 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 1.0898 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:45:00 | 1.0127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 1.0456 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:15:00 | 1.026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 23:00:00 | 1.0511 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 06:00:00 | 1.0864 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 12:00:00 | 1.2599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 1.126 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 1.171 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 1.0418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 22:00:00 | 1.0755 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 1.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 13:00:00 | 1.1154 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 1.0127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 23:00:00 | 1.0511 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 23:02:53 |
17 Oct 2025 02:25:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0511 | 1.0585 | 1.0363 | 2 | 0.4545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0585 - 1.0511 = 0.0074000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0511 - 1.0363 = 0.0148
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0074000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1137.8593 | 100 | 1082.5414 | 11.38 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074000000000001 = 1081.08
Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 1.0511 = 1136.32
Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 1.0585
Avec un position size USD de 1136.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0148 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.41 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6184 % | 87.84 % | 14 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0363
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0326
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0289
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0252
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0215
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0178
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0141
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0104
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0067
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.003
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.9993
[stop_loss] => 1.0585
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0055999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.0065000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 0.86
[high] => 1.05760000
[low] => 1.04550000
[mfe_pct] => 0.53
[mae_pct] => 0.62
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.86
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T23:02:53-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T01:02:53-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.1022
[max_drawdown] => 0.0065000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 15.72
[high] => 1.05760000
[low] => 0.94890000
[mfe_pct] => 9.72
[mae_pct] => 0.62
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.72
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-16T23:02:53-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T06:02:53-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.05110000
[high_after] => 1.05760000
[low_before] => 1.01650000
[low_after] => 0.94890000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)