Short Trade on XPL 16 Oct 2025 at 23:17:44

Take profit at 0.427 (2.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4429 (1.21 %)

Short Trade on XPL

The 16 Oct 2025 at 23:17:44

With 1506.2845 XPL at 0.4376$ per unit.

Position size of 659.1501 $

Take profit at 0.427 (2.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4429 (1.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.539597

15m : -0.067503

1H : 0.079495

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.003540721078
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.434081
  4. ema21 : 0.444291
  5. ema50 : 0.455276
  6. ema100 : 0.456515
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00810554
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0229795
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0241281
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0414344
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.544855
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.462791
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.250438
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.117105
  17. rsi : 0.438786
  18. adx : 0.206359
  19. kc_percentage : 0.393419
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.127051
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.659998
  22. volume_ema1 : 2131471.3821975
  23. volume_ema2 : 6269005.2900871
  24. chop : 58.9652
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.429925
  29. ema21 : 0.430027
  30. ema50 : 0.436352
  31. ema100 : 0.447655
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0178502
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000235754
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0144959
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0224622
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0318673
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0390878
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0858161
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0932165
  42. rsi : 0.587434
  43. adx : 0.163037
  44. kc_percentage : 0.828171
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0534328
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.395796
  47. volume_ema1 : 591279.35298399
  48. volume_ema2 : 978609.36596279
  49. chop : 50.4567
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.430578
  54. ema21 : 0.428257
  55. ema50 : 0.428669
  56. ema100 : 0.429627
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0163072
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0054187
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000959341
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0185556
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.100746
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00667513
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0174246
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0149873
  67. rsi : 0.700888
  68. adx : 0.281144
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12234
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0341552
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0504561
  72. volume_ema1 : 230536.48594808
  73. volume_ema2 : 219463.21330567
  74. chop : 27.2729
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    108413
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00528421
  81. 5m_price:
    108986
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.539597
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    109416
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0039333
  86. 15m_price:
    108986
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.067503
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    111661
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0239565
  91. 1H_price:
    108986
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.079495
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-13 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5064
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4057
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5608
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4511
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4952
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4428
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5125
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4206
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4175
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4391
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.84263265770895
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2874251497006
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1736526946108
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
                        [1] => 0.4428
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 0.4808
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 07:30:00
                        [1] => 0.4686
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5125
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4206
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 0.4218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:15:00
                        [1] => 0.4246
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4373
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                        [1] => 0.4175
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 23:15:00
                        [1] => 0.4391
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.84263265770895
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2874251497006
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1736526946108
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 0.4218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:15:00
                        [1] => 0.4246
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 18:25:00
                        [1] => 0.4333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 19:20:00
                        [1] => 0.4351
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4296
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 20:10:00
                        [1] => 0.4373
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 20:40:00
                        [1] => 0.4362
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 20:50:00
                        [1] => 0.4299
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
                        [1] => 0.4175
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 23:15:00
                        [1] => 0.4391
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.84263265770895
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2874251497006
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1736526946108
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0038
0.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0095
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 16:30:00 0.4218 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 18:15:00 0.4246 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 18:25:00 0.4333 ↑ High
2025-10-16 19:20:00 0.4351 ↑ High
2025-10-16 20:00:00 0.4296 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 20:10:00 0.4373 ↑ High
2025-10-16 20:40:00 0.4362 ↑ High
2025-10-16 20:50:00 0.4299 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:25:00 0.4175 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:15:00 0.4391 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0696
15.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0095
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 05:30:00 0.4428 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 06:15:00 0.4808 ↑ High
2025-10-16 07:30:00 0.4686 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:30:00 0.5125 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.4206 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 16:30:00 0.4218 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 18:15:00 0.4246 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 20:00:00 0.4373 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:15:00 0.4175 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:15:00 0.4391 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.17%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1179
26.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0213
4.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-13 20:00:00 0.5064 ↑ High
2025-10-14 06:00:00 0.4057 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 10:00:00 0.5608 ↑ High
2025-10-15 17:00:00 0.4511 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 00:00:00 0.4952 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 0.4428 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 0.5125 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.4206 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:00:00 0.4175 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:00:00 0.4391 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Oct 2025
23:17:44
17 Oct 2025
02:20:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4376 0.4429 0.427 2 0.0934
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4376
  • Stop Loss: 0.4429
  • Take Profit: 0.427

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4429 - 0.4376 = 0.0053

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4376 - 0.427 = 0.0106

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0106 / 0.0053 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
659.1501 100 1506.2845 6.59
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0053

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0053 = 1509.43

Taille de position USD = 1509.43 x 0.4376 = 660.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 1509.43 avec un stoploss a 0.4429

Avec un position size USD de 660.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0053 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0106 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1509.43
  • Taille de position USD 660.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.42 % 15.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.21 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
15.97 $ 2.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2742 % 22.64 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.427
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.42435
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4217
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.41905
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4164
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.41375
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4111
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.40845
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 03:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4058
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 03:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.40315
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4005
            [stop_loss] => 0.4429
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0099
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0012
            [rr_ratio] => 8.25
            [high] => 0.43880000
            [low] => 0.42770000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T23:17:44-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T01:17:44-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0531
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0012
            [rr_ratio] => 44.25
            [high] => 0.43880000
            [low] => 0.38450000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 44.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-16T23:17:44-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T06:17:44-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.43910000
            [high_after] => 0.43880000
            [low_before] => 0.41750000
            [low_after] => 0.38450000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)