Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 17 Oct 2025 at 00:08:11

Take profit at 288.7303 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 289.3598 (0.073 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Oct 2025 at 00:08:11

With 38.1242 MSTR at 289.15$ per unit.

Position size of 11023.6217 $

Take profit at 288.7303 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 289.3598 (0.073 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.98
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.27236

15m : -0.025391

1H : -0.063238

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.61
  4. atr: 0.1398935284
Details
  1. score: 1.61
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 288.407
  4. ema21 : 290.828
  5. ema50 : 295.613
  6. ema100 : 299.846
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00257327
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00832487
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.016184
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0356719
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.227136
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.210451
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.145222
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0954412
  17. rsi : 0.418152
  18. adx : 0.346052
  19. kc_percentage : 0.324095
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0287553
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.447055
  22. volume_ema1 : 240486.28925569
  23. volume_ema2 : 166190.0801837
  24. chop : 31.0162
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 288.547
  28. ema21 : 287.879
  29. ema50 : 288.893
  30. ema100 : 291.899
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00208794
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00231892
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00350677
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00941825
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0386029
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0356967
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00927441
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0274575
  41. rsi : 0.605853
  42. adx : 0.214839
  43. kc_percentage : 1.1393
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00672547
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.747321
  46. volume_ema1 : 18639.938394321
  47. volume_ema2 : 73769.273075425
  48. chop : 52.5658
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 288.915
  52. ema21 : 288.581
  53. ema50 : 287.866
  54. ema100 : 286.913
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000812943
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00115698
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00248406
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00779403
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0247449
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0185584
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0173293
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0150405
  65. rsi : 0.703348
  66. adx : 0.284991
  67. kc_percentage : 1.60501
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00170536
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.882196
  70. volume_ema1 : 3165.4671939072
  71. volume_ema2 : 26870.79803056
  72. chop : 27.2017
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    108528
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0048884
  78. 5m_price: 
    109059
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.27236
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109442
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00350758
  83. 15m_price: 
    109059
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.025391
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111669
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.023373
  88. 1H_price: 
    109059
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.063238
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 16:00:00
                    [1] => 299
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 301.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 307.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 307.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 295.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 301.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 295.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 302.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 283.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36916919679823
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0100324996467
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3880175215487
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 298.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:30:00
                    [1] => 295.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 302.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:30:00
                    [1] => 286.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 13:30:00
                    [1] => 293.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
                    [1] => 283.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
                    [1] => 284.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:15:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                    [1] => 287.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:45:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17629977876106
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52915578764142
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.70670147954742
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:15:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:25:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:40:00
                    [1] => 287.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                    [1] => 287.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:25:00
                    [1] => 287.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:35:00
                    [1] => 288.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:10:00
                    [1] => 288.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:20:00
                    [1] => 288.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:50:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17629977876106
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20125611575696
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.20%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4802
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4803
0.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 21:15:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-16 21:25:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-16 21:40:00 287.73 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:15:00 287.25 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:25:00 287.25 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 22:35:00 288.2 ↑ High
2025-10-16 23:10:00 288.6 ↑ High
2025-10-16 23:20:00 288.6 ↑ High
2025-10-16 23:50:00 289.28 ↑ High
2025-10-17 00:00:00 289.28 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.7102
4.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6503
1.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 04:00:00 298.4 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 05:30:00 295.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 302.07 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:30:00 286.25 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 13:30:00 293.02 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:30:00 283.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:00:00 284.15 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:15:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:15:00 287.25 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:45:00 289.28 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.01%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.1902
6.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6503
1.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 16:00:00 299 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 00:00:00 301.26 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 307.22 ↑ High
2025-10-15 10:00:00 307.55 ↑ High
2025-10-15 13:00:00 295.51 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 23:00:00 301.25 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 295.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 302.07 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 283.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 289.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
00:08:11		 17 Oct 2025
00:25:00		 16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
289.15 289.3598 288.7303 2 134.14
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 289.15
  • Stop Loss: 289.3598
  • Take Profit: 288.7303

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 289.3598 - 289.15 = 0.20980000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 289.15 - 288.7303 = 0.41969999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.41969999999998 / 0.20980000000003 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
11023.6217 100 38.1242 110.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.20980000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.20980000000003 = 38.13

Taille de position USD = 38.13 x 289.15 = 11025.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.13 avec un stoploss a 289.3598

Avec un position size USD de 11025.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.13 x 0.20980000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.13 x 0.41969999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 38.13
  • Taille de position USD 11025.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.073 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.7304
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.6255
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.5206
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.4157
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.3108
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.2059
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 288.101
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 287.9961
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 287.8912
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 287.7863
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 287.6814
            [stop_loss] => 289.3598
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.09
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 288.77000000
            [low] => 284.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.76
            [mae_pct] => -0.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T00:08:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T02:08:11-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 18.81
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 288.77000000
            [low] => 270.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.51
            [mae_pct] => -0.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T00:08:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T07:08:11-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 289.84000000
            [high_after] => 288.77000000
            [low_before] => 284.98000000
            [low_after] => 270.34000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)