Short Trade on NMR 17 Oct 2025 at 05:34:02
Take profit at 12.5963 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 13.0324 (1.13 %)
Short Trade on NMR 17 Oct 2025 at 05:34:02
Take profit at 12.5963 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 13.0324 (1.13 %)
Position size of 709.2283 $
Take profit at 12.5963 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 13.0324 (1.13 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.423063 15m : -0.020625 1H : 0.080665 |
3 |
Indicators:
107057
-0.018631
105063
0.423063
108343
-0.0302756
105063
-0.020625
111078
-0.0541537
105063
0.080665
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 02:00:00
[1] => 12.343
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 12:00:00
[1] => 13.638
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
[1] => 13.173
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 15.787
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 13.355
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 02:00:00
[1] => 14.803
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 13.353
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
[1] => 12.965
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 01:00:00
[1] => 13.308
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 03:00:00
[1] => 12.317
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0958821761346
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7008200048713
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.0457903710319
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 10:30:00
[1] => 13.751
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 12.965
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:45:00
[1] => 13.316
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 20:00:00
[1] => 13.087
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:15:00
[1] => 13.217
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:30:00
[1] => 13.085
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 01:00:00
[1] => 13.308
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 03:45:00
[1] => 12.317
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 12.911
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11618000154906
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7008200048713
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8226029065519
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:30:00
[1] => 13.085
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:00:00
[1] => 13.188
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:45:00
[1] => 13.208
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:50:00
[1] => 13.149
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 00:45:00
[1] => 13.16
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 01:10:00
[1] => 13.308
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 02:45:00
[1] => 12.435
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 03:15:00
[1] => 12.743
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 03:55:00
[1] => 12.317
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 12.911
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11618000154906
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7008200048713
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8226029065519
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 22:30:00 | 13.085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 23:00:00 | 13.188 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 23:45:00 | 13.208 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 23:50:00 | 13.149 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 00:45:00 | 13.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 01:10:00 | 13.308 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 02:45:00 | 12.435 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 03:15:00 | 12.743 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 03:55:00 | 12.317 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 12.911 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 10:30:00 | 13.751 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 12:00:00 | 13.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 12.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:45:00 | 13.316 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 20:00:00 | 13.087 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:15:00 | 13.217 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:30:00 | 13.085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 01:00:00 | 13.308 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 03:45:00 | 12.317 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 12.911 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 02:00:00 | 12.343 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 12:00:00 | 13.638 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 13.173 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 15.787 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 13.355 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 02:00:00 | 14.803 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 13.353 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 12.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 01:00:00 | 13.308 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 03:00:00 | 12.317 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 05:34:02 |
17 Oct 2025 06:25:00 |
50 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.887 | 13.0324 | 12.5963 | 2 | 7.796 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.0324 - 12.887 = 0.1454
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.887 - 12.5963 = 0.2907
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2907 / 0.1454 = 1.9993
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 709.2283 | 100 | 55.0344 | 7.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1454 = 55.02
Taille de position USD = 55.02 x 12.887 = 709.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 55.02 avec un stoploss a 13.0324
Avec un position size USD de 709.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 55.02 x 0.1454 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 55.02 x 0.2907 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6906 % | 61.21 % | 5 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.5962
[stop_loss] => 13.0324
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 06:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.341
[max_drawdown] => 0.12
[rr_ratio] => 2.84
[high] => 13.00700000
[low] => 12.54600000
[mfe_pct] => 2.65
[mae_pct] => 0.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.84
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T05:34:02-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T07:34:02-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.341
[max_drawdown] => 0.218
[rr_ratio] => 1.56
[high] => 13.10500000
[low] => 12.54600000
[mfe_pct] => 2.65
[mae_pct] => 1.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.56
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T05:34:02-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T12:34:02-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.27400000
[high_after] => 13.00700000
[low_before] => 12.31700000
[low_after] => 12.54600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)