Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 17 Oct 2025 at 07:04:57

Take profit at 273.7564 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 277.2118 (0.42 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Oct 2025 at 07:04:57

With 6.9456 MSTR at 276.06$ per unit.

Position size of 1917.4144 $

Take profit at 273.7564 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 277.2118 (0.42 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.23

Prediction Score: 4

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.53

Prediction 2	Probability
1	0.57

Prediction 3	Probability
0	0.7

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low

BTC Market Regime

Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.422559 15m : -0.085242 1H : -0.097352	3

BTC Correlation

Score

5m : 0.422559

15m : -0.085242

1H : -0.097352

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.11
atr: 0.7678674021

Details

score: 1.11
1H
ema9 : 278.174
ema21 : 283.443
ema50 : 290.821
ema100 : 297.06
price_ema9_diff : -0.00759964
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0185895
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0253713
price_ema100_diff : -0.0706935
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
ema_slope_9 : -0.270802
ema_slope_21 : -0.245918
ema_slope_50 : -0.178984
ema_slope_100 : -0.121467
rsi : 0.302276
adx : 0.407273
kc_percentage : -0.00740465
kc_width_percentage : 0.0500795
volume_ema_diff : 0.170546
volume_ema1 : 242275.09921029
volume_ema2 : 206975.98188712
chop : 26.2598
regime : bear_high
15m
ema9 : 274.646
ema21 : 276.305
ema50 : 280.685
ema100 : 285.534
price_ema9_diff : 0.00514817
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00600449
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.015605
price_ema100_diff : -0.0331821
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : -0.0526907
ema_slope_21 : -0.129395
ema_slope_50 : -0.117807
ema_slope_100 : -0.0894666
rsi : 0.452678
adx : 0.238902
kc_percentage : 0.48994
kc_width_percentage : 0.0243539
volume_ema_diff : -0.44145
volume_ema1 : 45112.039766829
volume_ema2 : 80766.430491597
chop : 39.2226
regime : bear_medium
5m
ema9 : 274.582
ema21 : 274.302
ema50 : 275.555
ema100 : 278.594
price_ema9_diff : 0.00538163
ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00101842
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00454706
price_ema100_diff : -0.00909817
all_emas_in_trend : False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : -0.00530652
ema_slope_21 : -0.011412
ema_slope_50 : -0.030165
ema_slope_100 : -0.0382199
rsi : 0.612894
adx : 0.190737
kc_percentage : 1.11109
kc_width_percentage : 0.0104326
volume_ema_diff : -0.644513
volume_ema1 : 9243.7160735532
volume_ema2 : 26002.999340398
chop : 41.7537
regime : range_low
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100:
```
106313
```
5m_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.0126906
```
5m_price:
```
104964
```
5m_correlation_with_coin:
```
0.422559
```
btc_indicators
15m_ema100:
```
107980
```
15m_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.0279344
```
15m_price:
```
104964
```
15m_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.085242
```
btc_indicators
1H_ema100:
```
110825
```
1H_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.0528878
```
1H_price:
```
104964
```
1H_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.097352
```

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
17 Oct 2025 07:04:57	17 Oct 2025 07:10:00	5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
276.06	277.2118	273.7564	2	134.84

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 276.06
Stop Loss: 277.2118
Take Profit: 273.7564

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 277.2118 - 276.06 = 1.1518
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 276.06 - 273.7564 = 2.3036
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3036 / 1.1518 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1917.4144	100	6.9456	19.17

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 1.1518

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1518 = 6.95

Taille de position USD = 6.95 x 276.06 = 1918.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.95 avec un stoploss a 277.2118

Avec un position size USD de 1918.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.95 x 1.1518 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.95 x 2.3036 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

Taille de position 6.95
Taille de position USD 1918.62
Perte potentielle 8.01
Gain potentiel 16.01
Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.83 %	16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.42 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.42

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6738 %	161.51 %	2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 273.7564
            [entry_price] => 276.06
            [stop_loss] => 277.32698
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 273.7564
            [entry_price] => 276.06
            [stop_loss] => 277.44216
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 273.7564
            [entry_price] => 276.06
            [stop_loss] => 277.55734
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 273.7564
            [entry_price] => 276.06
            [stop_loss] => 277.7877
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.63
            [max_drawdown] => 8.07
            [rr_ratio] => 0.2
            [high] => 284.13000000
            [low] => 274.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 2.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:04:57-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T09:04:57-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.63
            [max_drawdown] => 14.09
            [rr_ratio] => 0.12
            [high] => 290.15000000
            [low] => 274.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 5.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:04:57-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T14:04:57-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 278.96000000
            [high_after] => 289.53000000
            [low_before] => 270.34000000
            [low_after] => 274.43000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)