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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Oct 2025 at 07:13:33

Take profit at 274.9065 (1.08 %) and Stop Loss at 279.4268 (0.54 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Oct 2025 at 07:13:33

With 5.3094 MSTR at 277.92$ per unit.

Position size of 1475.5897 $

Take profit at 274.9065 (1.08 %) and Stop Loss at 279.4268 (0.54 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.38
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.377511

15m : 0.132381

1H : -0.068891

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 1.004506851
Details
  1. score: 1.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 278.546
  4. ema21 : 283.612
  5. ema50 : 290.894
  6. ema100 : 297.097
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00224746
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0178629
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0250344
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0645481
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.26002
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.241093
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.176939
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.120449
  17. rsi : 0.349643
  18. adx : 0.40016
  19. kc_percentage : 0.144556
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0539757
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.230015
  22. volume_ema1 : 256666.22211029
  23. volume_ema2 : 208669.05516947
  24. chop : 26.4633
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 275.018
  28. ema21 : 276.474
  29. ema50 : 280.758
  30. ema100 : 285.571
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0105517
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0052669
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0152585
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0267935
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0414748
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.124374
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.115672
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0884032
  41. rsi : 0.514206
  42. adx : 0.246433
  43. kc_percentage : 0.704481
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0284223
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.278395
  46. volume_ema1 : 59503.162666829
  47. volume_ema2 : 82459.50377395
  48. chop : 39.5491
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 275.259
  52. ema21 : 274.659
  53. ema50 : 275.614
  54. ema100 : 278.504
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00966699
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00218251
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00346313
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.002099
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0321059
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0070907
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0207068
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0331653
  65. rsi : 0.653236
  66. adx : 0.19555
  67. kc_percentage : 1.26706
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.015226
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.281985
  70. volume_ema1 : 18450.040954913
  71. volume_ema2 : 25695.927188195
  72. chop : 27.2376
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    106273
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0128926
  78. 5m_price: 
    104903
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.377511
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    107979
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0284912
  83. 15m_price: 
    104903
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.132381
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    110824
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0534306
  88. 1H_price: 
    104903
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.068891
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
07:13:33		 17 Oct 2025
07:25:00		 11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
277.92 279.4268 274.9065 2 134.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 277.92
  • Stop Loss: 279.4268
  • Take Profit: 274.9065

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 279.4268 - 277.92 = 1.5068

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 277.92 - 274.9065 = 3.0135

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.0135 / 1.5068 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1475.5897 100 5.3094 14.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5068

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5068 = 5.31

Taille de position USD = 5.31 x 277.92 = 1475.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.31 avec un stoploss a 279.4268

Avec un position size USD de 1475.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.31 x 1.5068 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.31 x 3.0135 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.31
  • Taille de position USD 1475.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.08 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6405 % 118.13 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 274.9065
            [entry_price] => 277.92
            [stop_loss] => 279.57748
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 274.9065
            [entry_price] => 277.92
            [stop_loss] => 279.72816
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 274.9065
            [entry_price] => 277.92
            [stop_loss] => 279.87884
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 274.9065
            [entry_price] => 277.92
            [stop_loss] => 280.1802
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.27000000000004
            [max_drawdown] => 6.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 284.13000000
            [low] => 277.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 2.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:13:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T09:13:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.27000000000004
            [max_drawdown] => 13.67
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 291.59000000
            [low] => 277.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 4.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:13:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T14:13:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 278.96000000
            [high_after] => 289.53000000
            [low_before] => 270.34000000
            [low_after] => 277.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)