Short Trade on UMA 17 Oct 2025 at 07:28:01
Take profit at 0.981 (2.35 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0164 (1.17 %)
Short Trade on UMA 17 Oct 2025 at 07:28:01
Take profit at 0.981 (2.35 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0164 (1.17 %)
Position size of 680.5559 $
Take profit at 0.981 (2.35 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0164 (1.17 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.623973 15m : 0.007024 1H : 0.106478 |
2 |
Indicators:
106288
-0.00163582
106114
0.623973
107969
-0.0177175
106057
0.007024
110848
-0.042707
106114
0.106478
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 23:30:00 | 1.0548 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 00:20:00 | 1.0576 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 00:40:00 | 1.0474 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 03:30:00 | 0.9564 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 03:40:00 | 0.9564 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 0.9489 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:20:00 | 0.9716 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:35:00 | 1.007 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:20:00 | 0.9647 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 1.0123 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 13:15:00 | 1.1154 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 1.0898 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:45:00 | 1.0127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 1.0456 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:15:00 | 1.026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 00:15:00 | 1.0576 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 0.9489 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 1.007 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:15:00 | 0.9647 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 1.0123 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 12:00:00 | 1.2599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 1.126 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 1.171 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 1.0418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 22:00:00 | 1.0755 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 1.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 13:00:00 | 1.1154 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 1.0127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 00:00:00 | 1.0576 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 0.9489 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 07:28:01 |
17 Oct 2025 12:00:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0046 | 1.0164 | 0.981 | 2 | 0.4545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0164 - 1.0046 = 0.0118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0046 - 0.981 = 0.0236
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0236 / 0.0118 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 680.5559 | 100 | 677.4397 | 6.81 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0118 = 677.97
Taille de position USD = 677.97 x 1.0046 = 681.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 677.97 avec un stoploss a 1.0164
Avec un position size USD de 681.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 677.97 x 0.0118 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 677.97 x 0.0236 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.17 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1746 % | 100 % | 16 |
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