Short Trade on ARKM 17 Oct 2025 at 07:29:07
Take profit at 0.3444 (3.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3609 (1.55 %)
Short Trade on ARKM 17 Oct 2025 at 07:29:07
Take profit at 0.3444 (3.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3609 (1.55 %)
Position size of 519.2292 $
Take profit at 0.3444 (3.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3609 (1.55 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.802134 15m : 0.038916 1H : -0.031558 |
2 |
Indicators:
106291
-0.000317064
106257
0.802134
107969
-0.0177175
106057
0.038916
110851
-0.0414414
106257
-0.031558
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 23:10:00 | 0.3603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 23:35:00 | 0.3629 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 23:50:00 | 0.3602 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 00:30:00 | 0.3627 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 01:30:00 | 0.3618 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:20:00 | 0.3262 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:35:00 | 0.3474 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:20:00 | 0.3341 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:25:00 | 0.3592 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 12:45:00 | 0.3813 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 0.3529 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 0.3626 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 0.3532 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 0.364 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:15:00 | 0.3557 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 23:30:00 | 0.3629 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 0.3262 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 0.3474 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 0.3592 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 0.387 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 0.4076 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 09:00:00 | 0.3756 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 0.3728 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 0.3612 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 0.3899 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 16:00:00 | 0.3529 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 0.364 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 0.3262 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:00:00 | 0.3592 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 07:29:07 |
17 Oct 2025 10:30:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3554 | 0.3609 | 0.3444 | 2 | 0.1086 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3609 - 0.3554 = 0.0055
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3554 - 0.3444 = 0.011
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.011 / 0.0055 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 519.2292 | 100 | 1460.9714 | 5.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0055 = 1454.55
Taille de position USD = 1454.55 x 0.3554 = 516.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 1454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.3609
Avec un position size USD de 516.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1454.55 x 0.0055 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1454.55 x 0.011 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.1 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.55 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.07 $ | 3.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7034 % | 45.45 % | 10 |
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