Short Trade on PYTH 17 Oct 2025 at 07:29:45
Take profit at 0.1061 (2.66 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1104 (1.28 %)
Short Trade on PYTH 17 Oct 2025 at 07:29:45
Take profit at 0.1061 (2.66 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1104 (1.28 %)
Position size of 602.4907 $
Take profit at 0.1061 (2.66 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1104 (1.28 %)
That's a 2.07 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.808824 15m : 0.039255 1H : 0.019572 |
2 |
Indicators:
106291
-0.000317064
106257
0.808824
107969
-0.0177175
106057
0.039255
110851
-0.0414414
106257
0.019572
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1159
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1263
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1247
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1209
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 0.1268
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 0.1148
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 0.115
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1223
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1098
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
[1] => 0.1018
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.874897792314
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0726915520629
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.8585461689587
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
[1] => 0.1133
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 17:00:00
[1] => 0.1108
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 0.1128
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1098
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 0.1135
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
[1] => 0.1111
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 00:00:00
[1] => 0.113
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
[1] => 0.1018
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 0.1071
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:15:00
[1] => 0.1097
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63810391978123
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0726915520629
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4276377217554
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 23:25:00
[1] => 0.1122
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 00:00:00
[1] => 0.113
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 00:35:00
[1] => 0.1119
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 01:30:00
[1] => 0.1122
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
[1] => 0.1018
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:50:00
[1] => 0.1022
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:35:00
[1] => 0.1071
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 06:20:00
[1] => 0.1032
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:25:00
[1] => 0.1097
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63810391978123
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6201550387597
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2984496124031
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 23:25:00 | 0.1122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 00:00:00 | 0.113 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 00:35:00 | 0.1119 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 01:30:00 | 0.1122 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 0.1018 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 04:50:00 | 0.1022 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:35:00 | 0.1071 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:20:00 | 0.1032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:25:00 | 0.1097 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 12:00:00 | 0.1133 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 17:00:00 | 0.1108 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 0.1128 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 0.1098 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 0.1135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:15:00 | 0.1111 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 00:00:00 | 0.113 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 0.1018 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 0.1071 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 0.1097 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 06:00:00 | 0.1159 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 14:00:00 | 0.1263 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 22:00:00 | 0.1247 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 02:00:00 | 0.1209 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 0.1268 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 0.1148 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 0.115 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:00:00 | 0.1223 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 0.1098 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 0.1018 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 07:29:45 |
17 Oct 2025 10:35:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.109 | 0.1104 | 0.1061 | 2.07 | 0.052 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1104 - 0.109 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.109 - 0.1061 = 0.0029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0029 / 0.0014 = 2.0714
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 602.4907 | 100 | 5527.4372 | 6.02 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0014 = 5714.29
Taille de position USD = 5714.29 x 0.109 = 622.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.1104
Avec un position size USD de 622.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0029 = 16.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.57$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.66 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.28 % | 7.74 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 2.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5505 % | 42.86 % | 14 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1062
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 10:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1055
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1048
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1041
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1034
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1027
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.102
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1013
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1006
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0999
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0992
[stop_loss] => 0.1104
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0019
[max_drawdown] => 0.0006
[rr_ratio] => 3.17
[high] => 0.10960000
[low] => 0.10710000
[mfe_pct] => 1.74
[mae_pct] => 0.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.17
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:29:45-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T09:29:45-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0029
[max_drawdown] => 0.0019
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[high] => 0.11090000
[low] => 0.10610000
[mfe_pct] => 2.66
[mae_pct] => 1.74
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.53
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:29:45-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T14:29:45-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.10970000
[high_after] => 0.11090000
[low_before] => 0.10180000
[low_after] => 0.10610000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)