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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Oct 2025 at 07:48:47

Take profit at 275.9094 (0.98 %) and Stop Loss at 279.9903 (0.49 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Oct 2025 at 07:48:47

With 5.881 MSTR at 278.63$ per unit.

Position size of 1638.6099 $

Take profit at 275.9094 (0.98 %) and Stop Loss at 279.9903 (0.49 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.532534

15m : 0.073351

1H : -0.070918

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.9068825046
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 278.688
  4. ema21 : 283.676
  5. ema50 : 290.922
  6. ema100 : 297.111
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000208198
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0175858
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0249058
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0622027
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.255905
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.239251
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.176158
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.120061
  17. rsi : 0.366071
  18. adx : 0.393281
  19. kc_percentage : 0.203807
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0568242
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.328223
  22. volume_ema1 : 280954.41566029
  23. volume_ema2 : 211526.48970477
  24. chop : 26.6066
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 276.856
  28. ema21 : 277.059
  29. ema50 : 280.563
  30. ema100 : 285.345
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00640456
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000731099
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0124905
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0235351
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0685367
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0484042
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0829103
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0743214
  41. rsi : 0.528592
  42. adx : 0.244501
  43. kc_percentage : 0.731989
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0258575
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.619037
  46. volume_ema1 : 28867.379354986
  47. volume_ema2 : 75774.916077567
  48. chop : 43.6235
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 278.038
  52. ema21 : 276.693
  53. ema50 : 276.413
  54. ema100 : 278.603
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00212583
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00486346
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0010108
  58. price_ema100_diff : 9.43999E-5
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.133399
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0847711
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0253254
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00745451
  65. rsi : 0.620586
  66. adx : 0.257191
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02054
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0128259
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.786992
  70. volume_ema1 : 4656.9119181888
  71. volume_ema2 : 21862.68045993
  72. chop : 24.6218
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    106260
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00511201
  78. 5m_price: 
    105716
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.532534
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    107882
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0200693
  83. 15m_price: 
    105716
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.073351
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    110840
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.046227
  88. 1H_price: 
    105716
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.070918
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 301.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 307.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 307.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 295.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 301.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 295.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 302.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 283.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 270.34
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8676511178581
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0665088407191
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2131390101354
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
                    [1] => 283.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
                    [1] => 284.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:15:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                    [1] => 287.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:45:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 278.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
                    [1] => 270.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
                    [1] => 276.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 06:15:00
                    [1] => 272.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 07:30:00
                    [1] => 280
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48928571428572
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4073801822993
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.910908556307
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:50:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 03:45:00
                    [1] => 271.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 278.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:20:00
                    [1] => 270.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:35:00
                    [1] => 274.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 272.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 05:35:00
                    [1] => 276.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 06:25:00
                    [1] => 272.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 07:30:00
                    [1] => 280
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48928571428572
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4073801822993
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.910908556307
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.49%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.41%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.2897
3.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5694
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 23:50:00 289.28 ↑ High
2025-10-17 00:00:00 289.28 ↑ High
2025-10-17 03:45:00 271.87 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:00:00 278.96 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:20:00 270.34 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:35:00 274.21 ↑ High
2025-10-17 05:00:00 272.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 05:35:00 276.51 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:25:00 272.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 07:30:00 280 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.49%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.41%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.8497
3.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5694
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 16:30:00 283.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:00:00 284.15 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:15:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:15:00 287.25 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:45:00 289.28 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:00:00 278.96 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:15:00 270.34 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 05:30:00 276.51 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:15:00 272.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 07:30:00 280 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.87%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.07%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.21%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
27.5597
9.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5694
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-15 00:00:00 301.26 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 307.22 ↑ High
2025-10-15 10:00:00 307.55 ↑ High
2025-10-15 13:00:00 295.51 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 23:00:00 301.25 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 295.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 302.07 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 283.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:00:00 270.34 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
07:48:47		 17 Oct 2025
07:55:00		 6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
278.63 279.9903 275.9094 2 134.72
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 278.63
  • Stop Loss: 279.9903
  • Take Profit: 275.9094

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 279.9903 - 278.63 = 1.3603

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 278.63 - 275.9094 = 2.7206

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7206 / 1.3603 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1638.6099 100 5.881 16.39
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3603

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3603 = 5.88

Taille de position USD = 5.88 x 278.63 = 1638.34

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.88 avec un stoploss a 279.9903

Avec un position size USD de 1638.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.88 x 1.3603 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.88 x 2.7206 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.88
  • Taille de position USD 1638.34
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.98 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.49 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7357 % 150.7 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 275.9094
            [entry_price] => 278.63
            [stop_loss] => 280.12633
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 275.9094
            [entry_price] => 278.63
            [stop_loss] => 280.26236
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 275.9094
            [entry_price] => 278.63
            [stop_loss] => 280.39839
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 275.9094
            [entry_price] => 278.63
            [stop_loss] => 280.67045
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 07:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 7.88
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 286.51000000
            [low] => 278.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 2.83
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:48:47-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T09:48:47-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 13.14
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 291.77000000
            [low] => 278.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 4.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T07:48:47-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T14:48:47-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 280.00000000
            [high_after] => 289.53000000
            [low_before] => 270.34000000
            [low_after] => 278.63000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)